Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Armada Acquisition Corp II (AACIU)

6 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AACIU. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +2
Streak
1Q ▲
Buyers last Q
50%

Smart Money Signals — AACIU

Based on 6 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 3Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added AACIU than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🔻

Below peak — only 19% of 1.0Y high

19% of all-time peak
Only 6 funds hold AACIU today versus a peak of 31 funds at 2025 Q2 — just 19% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 50% buying

2 buying2 selling
Last quarter: 2 funds bought or added vs 2 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~2 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 2 → 0 → 2. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 50% entered in last year

0% conviction (2yr+) 50% medium 50% new
Only 0 funds (0%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +561%, value +533%

Value
+532%
Shares
+560%
Last quarter: funds added +561% more shares while total portfolio value only changed +533%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
⚠️

Saturation — most institutions already know this story

2 → 0 → 2 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 2 → 0 → 2. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
🌱

Early stage — 100% of holders entered in last year

0% veterans 0% 1-2yr 100% new
Of 6 current holders: 6 (100%) entered in the past year, only 0 (0%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 0% AUM from top-100

0% from top-100 AUM funds
1 of 6 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 0% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
1.2
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 1.2/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — AACIU

In 2026 Q1, 2 hedge funds were net buyers of AACIU (2 opened a brand-new position), while 2 reduced or exited (2 trimmed their position) — a 50% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. Net fund flow last quarter: +2 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 6.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AACIU

How many hedge funds hold AACIU — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AACIU vs. share price

Market Analysis: AACIU

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AACIU

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Armada Acquisition Corp II (AACIU) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much AACIU has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLF) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 76d ago
AACIU
-2.4%
XLF
+8.0%

AACIU outperformed XLF by -10.4% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 31d ago
AACIU
+2.2%
XLF
+4.4%

Since the filing became public, AACIU outperformed XLF by -2.2% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

0 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
0.0
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.1
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AACIU
6 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AACIU. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 6 4 50.0%
13F Shares 700K 106K 560.65%
Total Value $7M $1M 532.54%
New Positions 2 0 +2
Increased Positions 0 0 -
Closed Positions 0 5 -5
Reduced Positions 2 3 -1
Total Calls 0 0 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: AACIU

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Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

6 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AACIU. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 5 AACIU holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 O'Connor Alternative Investments LLC 0.26% 300,000 $3.0M
2 Karpus Management, Inc. 0.10% 299,800 $3.2M
3 Readystate Asset Management LP 0.05% 99,086 $1.1M
4 Clear Street Group Inc. 0.00% 307 $3K
5 UBS Group AG 0.00% 1,158 $12K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Armada Acquisition Corp II (AACIU)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AACIU?

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added AACIU than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for AACIU?

Slight buying edge — 50% buying: Last quarter: 2 funds bought or added vs 2 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for AACIU holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 0% AUM from top-100: 1 of 6 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 0% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held AACIU?

Mostly new holders — 50% entered in last year: Only 0 funds (0%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.

Is it too late to buy Armada Acquisition Corp II (AACIU) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, AACIU has moved +2.2% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +4.4% for the XLF sector ETF — an outperformance of -2.2%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), AACIU has gained -2.4% vs +8.0% for XLF. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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