Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC (AFG)

475 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AFG. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +22
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
55%

Smart Money Signals — AFG

Based on 469 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added AFG than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
469 hedge funds hold AFG right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +12% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+52 new funds entered over the past year (+12% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 55% buying

253 buying205 selling
Last quarter: 253 funds bought or added vs 205 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~81 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 78 → 58 → 77 → 81. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

65% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 65% conviction (2yr+) ■ 17% medium ■ 17% new
305 out of 469 hedge funds have held AFG for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

64 → 78 → 58 → 77 → 81 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 78 → 58 → 77 → 81. A growing number of institutions are discovering AFG each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 70% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 70% veterans ■ 10% 1-2yr ■ 20% new
Of 475 current holders: 333 (70%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 62% AUM from top-100 funds

62% from top-100 AUM funds
42 of 469 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 62% of total institutional value in AFG. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.6
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.6/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — AFG

In 2025 Q4, 253 hedge funds were net buyers of AFG (81 opened a new position, 172 added to an existing one), while 205 reduced or exited (146 trimmed, 59 sold completely) — a 55% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. 62% of total institutional value in AFG is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +22 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 469.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AFG

How many hedge funds hold AFG — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AFG vs. share price

Market Analysis: AFG

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AFG

Financial Services Insurance - Property & Casualty

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

71 top-rated funds 3 high-conviction
Consensus
8.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.0
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AFG
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 7 days 475 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AFG. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 475 456 4.17%
13F Shares 57M 56M 1.31%
Total Value $7.71B $8.21B -6.14%
New Positions 81 80 +1
Increased Positions 180 150 +30
Closed Positions 61 52 +9
Reduced Positions 157 167 -10
Total Calls 3 6 -50.0%
Total Puts 3 3 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 0.5 Neutral

Statistics: AFG

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

475 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AFG. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 25 institutional holders of AFG — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Wealthquest Corp 3.54% 343,372 $46.9M
2 EULAV Asset Management 1.49% 364,692 $46.6M
3 VIKING FUND MANAGEMENT LLC 1.32% 101,000 $12.9M
4 Values First Advisors, Inc. 0.91% 13,603 $1.7M
5 Taylor Frigon Capital Management LLC 0.84% 11,626 $1.5M
6 Slagle Financial, LLC 0.65% 15,319 $2.0M
7 Boston Trust Walden Corp 0.55% 525,691 $67.1M
8 Nordwand Advisors, LLC 0.52% 23,475 $3.0M
9 Applied Capital LLC/FL 0.47% 7,832 $1.0M
10 JOHNSON INVESTMENT COUNSEL INC 0.47% 454,723 $58.1M
11 FORT WASHINGTON INVESTMENT ADVISORS INC /OH/ 0.43% 611,422 $78.1M
12 LECAP ASSET MANAGEMENT LTD 0.43% 8,886 $1.1M
13 HENGEHOLD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 0.34% 30,926 $3.9M
14 A&I FINANCIAL SERVICES, LLC 0.33% 5,464 $698K
15 Index Technologies Group LLC 0.30% 2,136 $273K
16 R Squared Ltd 0.28% 3,932 $502K
17 Severin Investments, LLC 0.27% 2,470 $315K
18 BAHL & GAYNOR INC 0.25% 386,839 $49.4M
19 Optimize Financial Inc 0.23% 3,643 $465K
20 New Age Alpha Advisors, LLC 0.21% 35,659 $4.6M
21 Financial Enhancement Group LLC 0.20% 12,448 $1.6M
22 Kellett Wealth Advisors, LLC 0.20% 2,820 $360K
23 Quantum Portfolio Management LLC 0.19% 3,503 $447K
24 BRIDGES INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC 0.19% 112,172 $14.3M
25 Ifrah Financial Services, Inc. 0.19% 5,535 $707K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC (AFG)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AFG?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added AFG than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for AFG?

Slight buying edge — 55% buying: Last quarter: 253 funds bought or added vs 205 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for AFG holders?

Elite ownership — 62% AUM from top-100 funds: 42 of 469 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 62% of total institutional value in AFG. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held AFG?

65% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 305 out of 469 hedge funds have held AFG for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.