Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Aflac Inc (AFL)

2K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AFL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -4
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
45%

Smart Money Signals — AFL

Based on 1659 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AFL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
1,659 hedge funds hold AFL right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +4% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+59 new funds entered over the past year (+4% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 45% buying

668 buying810 selling
Last quarter: 810 funds reduced or exited vs 668 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-48 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 134 → 149 → 190 → 142. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

69% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 69% conviction (2yr+) ■ 17% medium ■ 13% new
1,151 out of 1,659 hedge funds have held AFL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

171 → 134 → 149 → 190 → 142 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 134 → 149 → 190 → 142. A growing number of institutions are discovering AFL each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 71% veterans vs 17% newcomers

■ 71% veterans ■ 12% 1-2yr ■ 17% new
Entry-cohort mix of 1,713 holders: 1,214 (71%) are 2+ year veterans, 208 entered 1–2 years ago, and 291 (17%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 49% AUM from top-100 funds

49% from top-100 AUM funds
65 of 1653 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 49% of total institutional value in AFL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.7
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — AFL

In 2026 Q1, 668 hedge funds were net buyers of AFL (142 opened a new position, 526 added to an existing one), while 810 reduced or exited (664 trimmed, 146 sold completely) — a 45% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 49% of total institutional value in AFL is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -4 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 1659.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AFL

How many hedge funds hold AFL — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AFL vs. share price

Market Analysis: AFL

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AFL

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

88 top-rated funds 13 high-conviction
Consensus
8.5
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
5.4
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AFL
2026 Q2 Stats Unlock in 1 days 2K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AFL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 1636 1660 -1.45%
13F Shares 341M 352M -3.25%
Total Value $36.74B $38.59B -4.8%
New Positions 132 190 -58
Increased Positions 510 555 -45
Closed Positions 156 127 +29
Reduced Positions 644 584 +60
Total Calls 31 25 24.0%
Total Puts 29 28 3.57%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.94 1.12 Neutral

Statistics: AFL

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

2K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AFL. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
2026 Q2 filings are still coming in. Only funds that have filed so far are shown — top holders may not have reported yet. Full 13F data typically settles by ~50 days after quarter-end.
Top 25 AFL holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd. 100.00% 50,898,490 $5.97B
2 Dorato Capital Management 15.47% 187,171 $22.8M
3 Approach Retirement Advisors, LLC 9.08% 106,635 $12.5M
4 Price Financial Group Wealth Management, Inc 8.56% 4,237 $515K
5 PhiloSmith Capital Corp 8.49% 266,500 $31.2M
6 Greatmark Investment Partners, INC. 7.92% 612,354 $71.8M
7 Gladstone Capital Management LLP 7.02% 604,852 $70.9M
8 Paces Ferry Wealth Advisors, LLC 4.99% 114,761 $13.5M
9 Longboard Asset Management, LP 4.53% 2,302 $270K
10 Guinness Asset Management LTD 4.04% 2,043,845 $238.8M
11 Edmp, INC. 3.97% 42,038 $4.9M
12 Lawson Kroeker Investment Management Inc/Ne 3.85% 118,548 $13.9M
13 Jericho Financial, LLP 3.50% 57,627 $6.8M
14 Peninsula Asset Management Inc 3.34% 59,429 $7.0M
15 Royal Palms Capital LLC 3.01% 29,183 $3.4M
16 Alkeme Wealth, LLC 2.56% 57,174 $6.7M
17 TCTC Holdings, LLC 2.49% 809,298 $94.9M
18 Virginia Wealth Management Group, INC. 2.46% 42,188 $4.9M
19 Chiron Capital Management, LLC 2.45% 23,258 $2.7M
20 Roffman Miller Associates Inc /Pa/ 2.12% 345,878 $40.6M
21 Weaver C. Barksdale & Associates, Inc. 2.02% 19,184 $2.2M
22 Long Road Investment Counsel, LLC 1.93% 44,650 $5.2M
23 Gould Capital, LLC 1.92% 29,418 $3.4M
24 JNBA Financial Advisors 1.91% 214,727 $25.2M
25 Chesapeake Asset Management LLC 1.84% 20,493 $2.4M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Aflac Inc (AFL)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AFL?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AFL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for AFL?

More sellers than buyers — 45% buying: Last quarter: 810 funds reduced or exited vs 668 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for AFL holders?

Elite ownership — 49% AUM from top-100 funds: 65 of 1653 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 49% of total institutional value in AFL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held AFL?

69% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 1,151 out of 1,659 hedge funds have held AFL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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