Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Allison Transmission Hldgs I (ALSN)

558 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in ALSN. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +4
Streak
3Q ▲
Buyers last Q
45%

Smart Money Signals — ALSN

Based on 559 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added ALSN than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
559 hedge funds hold ALSN right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +5% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+28 new funds entered over the past year (+5% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 45% buying

255 buying312 selling
Last quarter: 312 funds reduced or exited vs 255 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-16 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 71 → 95 → 101 → 85. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

56% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 56% conviction (2yr+) ■ 21% medium ■ 24% new
311 out of 559 hedge funds have held ALSN for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

95 → 71 → 95 → 101 → 85 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 71 → 95 → 101 → 85. A growing number of institutions are discovering ALSN each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 62% veterans vs 26% newcomers

■ 62% veterans ■ 12% 1-2yr ■ 26% new
Entry-cohort mix of 566 holders: 349 (62%) are 2+ year veterans, 69 entered 1–2 years ago, and 148 (26%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 49% AUM from top-100 funds

49% from top-100 AUM funds
58 of 558 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 49% of total institutional value in ALSN. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.0
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.0/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — ALSN

In 2026 Q2, 255 hedge funds were net buyers of ALSN (85 opened a new position, 170 added to an existing one), while 312 reduced or exited (231 trimmed, 81 sold completely) — a 45% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. This marks 3 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 49% of total institutional value in ALSN is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +4 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 559.

Hedge Fund Ownership: ALSN

How many hedge funds hold ALSN — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of ALSN vs. share price

Market Analysis: ALSN

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: ALSN

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Allison Transmission Hldgs I (ALSN) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much ALSN has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLY) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 51d ago
ALSN
+10.7%
XLY
-0.5%

ALSN outperformed XLY by +11.2% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 6d ago
ALSN
-0.8%
XLY
-1.2%

Since the filing became public, ALSN outperformed XLY by +0.4% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

22 top-rated funds 5 high-conviction
Consensus
5.9
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.5
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: ALSN
558 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in ALSN. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 558 555 0.54%
13F Shares 85M 85M -0.06%
Total Value $9.17B $9.48B -3.3%
New Positions 85 101 -16
Increased Positions 170 178 -8
Closed Positions 81 63 +18
Reduced Positions 227 196 +31
Total Calls 3 4 -25.0%
Total Puts 4 4 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.33 1.0 Bearish

Statistics: ALSN

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

558 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in ALSN. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 ALSN holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 FIFTHDELTA Ltd 10.05% 760,474 $85.7M
2 MAC Alpha Capital Management, LP 8.15% 156,191 $17.6M
3 Mountain Lake Investment Management LLC 7.48% 106,541 $12.0M
4 Solidarity Wealth, LLC 5.95% 303,035 $34.2M
5 Turas Capital Management LP 3.79% 73,200 $8.3M
6 Stockbridge Partners LLC 3.56% 1,499,984 $169.1M
7 Dudley & Shanley, INC. 2.81% 165,037 $18.6M
8 Seizert Capital Partners, LLC 2.38% 512,169 $57.7M
9 Alan B Lancz & Associates, Inc. 2.06% 21,020 $2.4M
10 Taylor Hoffman Capital Management LLC 1.97% 71,972 $8.1M
11 Polaris Capital Management, LLC 1.75% 164,900 $18.6M
12 Villanova Investment Management Co LLC 1.67% 15,647 $1.8M
13 Marathon Capital Management 1.65% 72,287 $8.1M
14 Bruni J V & Co /Co 1.60% 155,235 $17.5M
15 Norris Perne & French LLP/Mi 1.41% 212,659 $24.0M
16 London Co of Virginia 1.17% 1,824,581 $205.7M
17 Wasatch Advisors LP 1.11% 1,510,496 $170.3M
18 Robotti Robert 1.07% 58,544 $6.6M
19 California First Leasing Corp 1.01% 42,290 $4.8M
20 Islay Capital Management, LLC 0.96% 18,440 $2.1M
21 MADDEN SECURITIES Corp 0.94% 30,100 $3.4M
22 Covalis Capital LLP 0.93% 146,525 $16.5M
23 Fuller & Thaler Asset Management, INC. 0.81% 2,622,104 $295.6M
24 AdvisorShares Investments LLC 0.80% 58,661 $6.6M
25 NewEdge Wealth, LLC 0.70% 618,833 $69.8M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Allison Transmission Hldgs I (ALSN)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for ALSN?

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added ALSN than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for ALSN?

More sellers than buyers — 45% buying: Last quarter: 312 funds reduced or exited vs 255 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for ALSN holders?

Elite ownership — 49% AUM from top-100 funds: 58 of 558 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 49% of total institutional value in ALSN. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held ALSN?

56% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 311 out of 559 hedge funds have held ALSN for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Allison Transmission Hldgs I (ALSN) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, ALSN has moved -0.8% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to -1.2% for the XLY sector ETF — an outperformance of +0.4%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), ALSN has gained +10.7% vs -0.5% for XLY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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