Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Ardagh Metal Packaging S A (AMBP)

226 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AMBP. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +9
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
57%

Smart Money Signals — AMBP

Based on 227 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added AMBP than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
227 hedge funds hold AMBP right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +16% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+32 new funds entered over the past year (+16% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 57% buying

128 buying96 selling
Last quarter: 128 funds bought or added vs 96 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~40 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 40 → 31 → 45 → 40. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

52% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 52% conviction (2yr+) ■ 24% medium ■ 25% new
117 out of 227 hedge funds have held AMBP for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Value +20% but shares only +3% — price-driven

Value
+20%
Shares
+2%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +20%, but actual share count only changed +3%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

46 → 40 → 31 → 45 → 40 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 40 → 31 → 45 → 40. A growing number of institutions are discovering AMBP each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 58% veterans vs 28% newcomers

■ 58% veterans ■ 14% 1-2yr ■ 28% new
Entry-cohort mix of 231 holders: 133 (58%) are 2+ year veterans, 33 entered 1–2 years ago, and 65 (28%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
✅

Strong quality — 35% AUM from major funds

35% from top-100 AUM funds
45 of 226 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 35% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
3.8
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — AMBP

In 2026 Q2, 128 hedge funds were net buyers of AMBP (40 opened a new position, 88 added to an existing one), while 96 reduced or exited (65 trimmed, 31 sold completely) — a 57% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. 35% of total institutional value in AMBP is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +9 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 227.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AMBP

How many hedge funds hold AMBP — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AMBP vs. share price

Market Analysis: AMBP

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AMBP

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

15 top-rated funds 2 high-conviction
Consensus
5.2
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.1
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AMBP
226 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AMBP. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 226 218 3.67%
13F Shares 126M 123M 2.58%
Total Value $594M $494M 20.28%
New Positions 40 45 -5
Increased Positions 86 65 +21
Closed Positions 31 28 +3
Reduced Positions 64 65 -1
Total Calls 3 3 -
Total Puts 2 2 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.67 0.67 Bullish

Statistics: AMBP

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

226 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AMBP. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 AMBP holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Platinum Equity, LLC 78.62% 5,311,164 $25.2M
2 Arini Capital Management Ltd 20.49% 20,899,209 $99.1M
3 Canyon Capital Advisors LLC 5.58% 10,385,711 $49.2M
4 Mountaineer Partners Management, LLC 2.06% 574,207 $2.7M
5 Diameter Capital Partners LP 1.92% 5,030,465 $23.8M
6 Gilman Hill Asset Management, LLC 1.32% 2,036,475 $9.7M
7 Contrarian Capital Management, L.L.C. 0.64% 413,706 $2.0M
8 Empyrean Capital Partners, LP 0.63% 4,000,000 $19.0M
9 Private Management Group Inc 0.62% 4,964,912 $23.5M
10 Tred Avon Family Wealth, LLC 0.24% 166,985 $792K
11 Integrated Quantitative Investments LLC 0.13% 169,333 $803K
12 Piar LLC 0.13% 47,370 $225K
13 Virtus Advisers, LLC 0.10% 54,997 $261K
14 Redhawk Wealth Advisors, Inc. 0.10% 211,024 $1.0M
15 Odyssean, LLC 0.10% 125,725 $596K
16 Hillsdale Investment Management Inc. 0.09% 864,163 $4.1M
17 Pension & Wealth Management Advisors, INC. 0.08% 19,522 $94K
18 Measured Wealth Private Client Group, LLC 0.08% 68,692 $326K
19 Occudo Quantitative Strategies LP 0.08% 312,154 $1.5M
20 Ares Systematic Credit Ltd 0.07% 23,706 $112K
21 CWA Asset Management Group, LLC 0.07% 463,299 $2.2M
22 Legato Capital Management LLC 0.07% 169,333 $803K
23 Counterpoint Mutual Funds LLC 0.06% 136,732 $648K
24 IQ EQ FUND MANAGEMENT (IRELAND) Ltd 0.06% 208,222 $987K
25 Gamco Investors, INC. Et Al 0.06% 1,450,228 $6.9M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Ardagh Metal Packaging S A (AMBP)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AMBP?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added AMBP than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for AMBP?

Slight buying edge — 57% buying: Last quarter: 128 funds bought or added vs 96 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for AMBP holders?

Strong quality — 35% AUM from major funds: 45 of 226 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 35% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held AMBP?

52% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 117 out of 227 hedge funds have held AMBP for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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