Based on 62 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their ARES/PRB positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊
High ownership — 86% of 3.0Y peak
86% of all-time peak
62 funds currently hold this stock — 86% of the 3.0-year high of 72 funds (reached 2025 Q1). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉
Outflows — 14% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
10 fewer hedge funds hold ARES/PRB compared to a year ago (-14% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 42% buying
30 buying42 selling
Last quarter: 42 funds reduced or exited vs 30 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~9 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 9 → 8 → 11 → 9. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 21% entered in last year
■ 2% conviction (2yr+)
■ 77% medium
■ 21% new
Only 1 funds (2%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares +13%, value -30%
Last quarter: funds added +13% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -30%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~9 new funds/quarter
23 → 9 → 8 → 11 → 9 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 9 → 8 → 11 → 9. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
📊
Mixed cohorts — 2% veterans, 45% new entrants
■ 2% veterans
■ 53% 1-2yr
■ 45% new
Of 62 current holders: 1 (2%) held 2+ years, 33 held 1–2 years, 28 (45%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
🏆
Elite ownership — 65% AUM from top-100 funds
65% from top-100 AUM funds
18 of 62 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 65% of total institutional value in ARES/PRB. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
Exit risk score 3.2/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.