Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

ARMOUR RESIDENTIAL REIT INC (ARR)

218 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in ARR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +16
Streak
7Q ▲
Buyers last Q
59%

Smart Money Signals — ARR

Based on 210 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 7 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 7 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added ARR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
210 hedge funds hold ARR right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +26% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+43 new funds entered over the past year (+26% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 59% buying

124 buying87 selling
Last quarter: 124 funds bought or added vs 87 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~45 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 34 → 31 → 46 → 45. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

54% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 54% conviction (2yr+) ■ 23% medium ■ 22% new
114 out of 210 hedge funds have held ARR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+14% value, -3% shares)

Value
+14%
Shares
-3%
Last quarter: total value of institutional ARR holdings rose +14% even though funds reduced share count by 3%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

31 → 34 → 31 → 46 → 45 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 34 → 31 → 46 → 45. A growing number of institutions are discovering ARR each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 62% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 62% veterans ■ 14% 1-2yr ■ 24% new
Of 218 current holders: 135 (62%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 46% AUM from top-100 funds

46% from top-100 AUM funds
29 of 210 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 46% of total institutional value in ARR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.9
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — ARR

In 2025 Q4, 124 hedge funds were net buyers of ARR (45 opened a new position, 79 added to an existing one), while 87 reduced or exited (58 trimmed, 29 sold completely) — a 59% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 7 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 46% of total institutional value in ARR is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +16 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 210.

Hedge Fund Ownership: ARR

How many hedge funds hold ARR — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of ARR vs. share price

Market Analysis: ARR

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: ARR

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

45 top-rated funds 1 high-conviction
Consensus
7.2
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
1.3
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: ARR
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 5 days 218 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in ARR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 218 209 4.31%
13F Shares 64M 67M -3.41%
Total Value $1.14B $993M 14.33%
New Positions 45 49 -4
Increased Positions 91 123 -32
Closed Positions 32 33 -1
Reduced Positions 74 43 +31
Total Calls 7 10 -30.0%
Total Puts 5 7 -28.57%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.71 0.7 Neutral

Statistics: ARR

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

218 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in ARR. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 institutional holders of ARR — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Penn Mutual Asset Management 14.87% 174,050 $2.9M
2 GraniteShares Advisors LLC 1.66% 138,275 $2.3M
3 Ascentis Wealth Management, LLC 1.17% 355,000 $5.9M
4 VIRTUS ADVISERS, LLC 0.25% 32,000 $534K
5 SUSQUEHANNA FUNDAMENTAL INVESTMENTS, LLC 0.18% 284,979 $4.8M
6 JUPITER ASSET MANAGEMENT LTD 0.11% 1,231,954 $20.5M
7 AlphaQuest LLC 0.11% 109,730 $1.9M
8 Parisi Gray Wealth Management 0.11% 26,453 $441K
9 INCEPTIONR LLC 0.10% 25,384 $423K
10 Global Assets Advisory, LLC 0.09% 18,315 $305K
11 WOLVERINE ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC 0.08% 520,545 $8.7M
12 Simplicity Wealth,LLC 0.08% 82,674 $1.4M
13 Verition Fund Management LLC 0.05% 437,184 $7.3M
14 INDEPENDENT FINANCIAL GROUP, LLC 0.04% 87,425 $1.5M
15 State of Wyoming 0.04% 21,103 $352K
16 Susquehanna Portfolio Strategies, LLC 0.04% 159,464 $2.7M
17 SeaCrest Wealth Management, LLC 0.03% 18,112 $302K
18 AMERIFLEX GROUP, INC. 0.03% 3,700 $62K
19 Laurion Capital Management LP 0.03% 37,235 $621K
20 Kovack Advisors, Inc. 0.03% 28,202 $476K
21 XTX Topco Ltd 0.02% 84,063 $1.4M
22 PUBLIC SECTOR PENSION INVESTMENT BOARD 0.02% 400,322 $6.7M
23 KERR FINANCIAL PLANNING Corp 0.02% 821 $14K
24 Engineers Gate Manager LP 0.02% 81,720 $1.4M
25 Louisiana State Employees Retirement System 0.01% 49,600 —
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — ARMOUR RESIDENTIAL REIT INC (ARR)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for ARR?

Buying streak — 7 quarters in a row: For 7 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added ARR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for ARR?

Slight buying edge — 59% buying: Last quarter: 124 funds bought or added vs 87 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for ARR holders?

Elite ownership — 46% AUM from top-100 funds: 29 of 210 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 46% of total institutional value in ARR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held ARR?

54% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 114 out of 210 hedge funds have held ARR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.