Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

ASML HLDG NV (ASML)

2K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in ASML. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +219
Streak
5Q ▲
Buyers last Q
57%

Smart Money Signals — ASML

Based on 1981 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 5 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 5 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added ASML than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
1,981 hedge funds hold ASML right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +27% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+421 new funds entered over the past year (+27% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 57% buying

1067 buying804 selling
Last quarter: 1,067 funds bought or added vs 804 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+86 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new ASML position: 193 → 240 → 250 → 336. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

52% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 52% conviction (2yr+) ■ 24% medium ■ 23% new
1,039 out of 1,981 hedge funds have held ASML for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

267 → 193 → 240 → 250 → 336 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 193 → 240 → 250 → 336. A growing number of institutions are discovering ASML each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 55% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 55% veterans ■ 14% 1-2yr ■ 31% new
Of 2,064 current holders: 1,132 (55%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 59% AUM from top-100 funds

59% from top-100 AUM funds
66 of 1981 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 59% of total institutional value in ASML. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.9
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — ASML

In 2025 Q4, 1067 hedge funds were net buyers of ASML (336 opened a new position, 731 added to an existing one), while 804 reduced or exited (687 trimmed, 117 sold completely) — a 57% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 5 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 59% of total institutional value in ASML is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +219 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 1981.

Hedge Fund Ownership: ASML

How many hedge funds hold ASML — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of ASML vs. share price

Market Analysis: ASML

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: ASML

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Smart Money Signal ?
Strong Institutional Conviction

Multiple high-quality funds hold meaningful positions with strong conviction.

163 top-rated funds 70 high-conviction
Consensus
9.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
7.9
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: ASML
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 4 days 2K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in ASML. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 1953 1741 12.18%
13F Shares 77M 79M -1.84%
Total Value $80.37B $74.84B 7.38%
New Positions 319 227 +92
Increased Positions 780 834 -54
Closed Positions 112 181 -69
Reduced Positions 775 619 +156
Total Calls 48 47 2.13%
Total Puts 38 40 -5.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.79 0.85 Neutral

Statistics: ASML

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

2K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in ASML. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 institutional holders of ASML — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Watchtower Advisors, LP 29.29% 31,261 $41.3M
2 REGENTS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA 16.37% 351,282 $464.0M
3 Triple Frond Partners LLC 16.31% 118,917 $157K
4 Dorsey Asset Management, LLC 14.76% 140,295 $185.3M
5 Square Wave Capital, LLC 12.37% 38,700 $51.1M
6 ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT LLC 12.01% 8,300 $11.0M
7 Novo Holdings A/S 10.16% 94,946 $125.4M
8 Rule One Partners, LLC 9.32% 7,101 $9.4M
9 Avantyr Capital Partners, LP 8.54% 134,603 $177.8M
10 EDGEWOOD MANAGEMENT LLC 8.04% 942,966 $1.25B
11 Pennant Select, LLC 7.97% 12,000 $15.8M
12 Anther Capital Ltd 7.92% 229,344 $302.9M
13 Tenere Capital LLC 7.70% 7,950 $10.5M
14 Hardman Johnston Global Advisors LLC 7.44% 118,526 $156.6M
15 Talos Eurisko Asset Management LP 7.08% 31,372 $41.4M
16 Fremen Capital Management LP 7.03% 6,215 $8.2M
17 Gavilan Investment Partners LLC 6.92% 19,500 $25.8M
18 LONE PINE CAPITAL LLC 6.90% 655,148 $865.3M
19 Valley Forge Capital Management, LP 6.69% 171,083 $226.0M
20 UNIO CAPITAL LLC 6.67% 23,548 $31.1M
21 Hyperion Asset Management Ltd 6.30% 149,613 $197.6M
22 MayTech Global Investments, LLC 6.02% 37,372 $49.4M
23 SATURNA CAPITAL CORP 5.87% 316,657 $418.3M
24 AXIOM INVESTORS LLC /DE 5.58% 379,428 $501.2M
25 SCGE MANAGEMENT, L.P. 5.49% 137,200 $181.2M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — ASML HLDG NV (ASML)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for ASML?

Buying streak — 5 quarters in a row: For 5 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added ASML than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for ASML?

Slight buying edge — 57% buying: Last quarter: 1,067 funds bought or added vs 804 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for ASML holders?

Elite ownership — 59% AUM from top-100 funds: 66 of 1981 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 59% of total institutional value in ASML. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held ASML?

52% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 1,039 out of 1,981 hedge funds have held ASML for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.