Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Aerovironment Inc (AVAV)

600 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AVAV. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -3
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
52%

Smart Money Signals — AVAV

Based on 607 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AVAV positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
607 hedge funds hold AVAV right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +25% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+120 new funds entered over the past year (+25% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 52% buying

339 buying311 selling
Last quarter: 339 funds bought or added vs 311 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-21 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 158 → 125 → 126 → 105. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

45% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 45% conviction (2yr+) ■ 26% medium ■ 29% new
273 out of 607 hedge funds have held AVAV for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

153 → 158 → 125 → 126 → 105 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 158 → 125 → 126 → 105. AVAV is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 53% veterans vs 36% newcomers

■ 53% veterans ■ 11% 1-2yr ■ 36% new
Entry-cohort mix of 644 holders: 343 (53%) are 2+ year veterans, 72 entered 1–2 years ago, and 229 (36%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 44% AUM from top-100 funds

44% from top-100 AUM funds
61 of 600 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 44% of total institutional value in AVAV. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.9
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — AVAV

In 2026 Q2, 339 hedge funds were net buyers of AVAV (105 opened a new position, 234 added to an existing one), while 311 reduced or exited (203 trimmed, 108 sold completely) — a 52% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. 44% of total institutional value in AVAV is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -3 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 607.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AVAV

How many hedge funds hold AVAV — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AVAV vs. share price

Market Analysis: AVAV

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AVAV

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

22 top-rated funds 2 high-conviction
Consensus
5.9
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.2
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AVAV
600 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AVAV. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 600 610 -1.64%
13F Shares 35M 35M 1.36%
Total Value $5.74B $6.06B -5.29%
New Positions 105 126 -21
Increased Positions 224 270 -46
Closed Positions 108 113 -5
Reduced Positions 190 135 +55
Total Calls 22 22 -
Total Puts 22 20 10.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 0.91 Neutral

Statistics: AVAV

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

600 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AVAV. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 AVAV holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Heard Capital LLC 6.39% 903,975 $149.2M
2 American Capital Management Inc 3.13% 422,518 $69.7M
3 Arsenal Capital Advisors LLC 2.80% 28,709 $4.7M
4 Deepwater Asset Management, LLC 2.75% 36,742 $6.1M
5 AWM Investment Company, Inc. 2.10% 146,908 $24.3M
6 Fidelis Capital Partners, LLC 1.39% 145,791 $24.1M
7 ARS Investment Partners, LLC 1.35% 187,576 $31.0M
8 Future Fund LLC 1.09% 22,963 $3.8M
9 Stephens Investment Management Group LLC 1.00% 567,423 $93.7M
10 Sittner & Nelson, LLC 0.88% 16,910 $2.8M
11 Essential Investment Partners LLC 0.86% 3,789 $917K
12 MYDA Advisors LLC 0.86% 35,000 $5.8M
13 MYDA Advisors LLC 0.74% 30,000 $5.0M
14 Mcguire Capital Advisors Inc 0.69% 7,646 $1.3M
15 Emerald Advisers, LLC 0.69% 176,383 $29.1M
16 Vista Investment Partners LLC 0.68% 16,451 $2.7M
17 Hood River Capital Management LLC 0.68% 564,254 $93.1M
18 Outfitters Financial LLC 0.67% 5,830 $962K
19 Emerald Mutual Fund Advisers Trust 0.66% 114,482 $18.9M
20 ARK Investment Management LLC 0.65% 607,502 $100.3M
21 Pekin Hardy Strauss, Inc. 0.60% 41,205 $6.8M
22 Apriem Advisors 0.59% 40,991 $6.8M
23 Intellectus Partners, LLC 0.54% 19,061 $3.1M
24 Champlain Investment Partners, LLC 0.52% 122,616 $20.2M
25 AlphaCentric Advisors LLC 0.51% 3,651 $603K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Aerovironment Inc (AVAV)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AVAV?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AVAV positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for AVAV?

Slight buying edge — 52% buying: Last quarter: 339 funds bought or added vs 311 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for AVAV holders?

Elite ownership — 44% AUM from top-100 funds: 61 of 600 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 44% of total institutional value in AVAV. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held AVAV?

45% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 273 out of 607 hedge funds have held AVAV for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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