Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

BRIDGER AEROSPACE GRP HLDGS (BAER)

51 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in BAER. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +3
Streak
1Q ▲
Buyers last Q
56%

Smart Money Signals — BAER

Based on 51 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added BAER than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
📊

High ownership — 88% of 3.0Y peak

88% of all-time peak
51 funds currently hold this stock — 88% of the 3.0-year high of 58 funds (reached 2025 Q1). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📶

Steady growth — +4% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+2 new funds entered over the past year (+4% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 56% buying

23 buying18 selling
Last quarter: 23 funds bought or added vs 18 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~9 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 15 → 8 → 10 → 9. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 25% entered in last year

■ 22% conviction (2yr+) ■ 53% medium ■ 25% new
Only 11 funds (22%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

11 → 15 → 8 → 10 → 9 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 15 → 8 → 10 → 9. BAER is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
📊

Mixed cohorts — 27% veterans, 47% new entrants

■ 27% veterans ■ 25% 1-2yr ■ 47% new
Of 51 current holders: 14 (27%) held 2+ years, 13 held 1–2 years, 24 (47%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 12% AUM from top-100

12% from top-100 AUM funds
14 of 51 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 12% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
3.0
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.0/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — BAER

In 2025 Q4, 23 hedge funds were net buyers of BAER (9 opened a new position, 14 added to an existing one), while 18 reduced or exited (12 trimmed, 6 sold completely) — a 56% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. Net fund flow last quarter: +3 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 51.

Hedge Fund Ownership: BAER

How many hedge funds hold BAER — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of BAER vs. share price

Market Analysis: BAER

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: BAER

Industrials Security & Protection Services

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

10 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
4.5
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.0
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: BAER
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 6 days 51 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in BAER. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 51 48 6.25%
13F Shares 20M 18M 11.86%
Total Value $37M $34M 10.74%
New Positions 9 10 -1
Increased Positions 14 13 +1
Closed Positions 6 11 -5
Reduced Positions 12 13 -1
Total Calls 0 0 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: BAER

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

51 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in BAER. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 25 institutional holders of BAER — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 KIECKHEFER GROUP LLC 0.19% 208,366 $413K
2 HighMark Wealth Management LLC 0.10% 130,162 $258K
3 Enclave Advisors LLC 0.08% 304,506 $603K
4 Peterson Wealth Advisors, LLC 0.06% 233,323 $462K
5 SCRATCH CAPITAL LLC 0.02% 13,600 $27K
6 Catalyst Funds Management Pty Ltd 0.01% 21,300 $42K
7 Stanley-Laman Group, Ltd. 0.01% 28,575 $57K
8 First PREMIER Bank 0.00% 10,000 —
9 Coston, McIsaac & Partners 0.00% 9,500 $18K
10 Walleye Capital LLC 0.00% 216,325 $428K
11 Burk Holdings LLC 0.00% 2,000 $4K
12 Apollon Wealth Management, LLC 0.00% 39,000 $77K
13 CLIFFORD SWAN INVESTMENT COUNSEL LLC 0.00% 15,532 $31K
14 Kingsview Wealth Management, LLC 0.00% 35,000 $69K
15 HB Wealth Management, LLC 0.00% 13,100 $26K
16 Arax Advisory Partners 0.00% 2,457 $5K
17 STIFEL FINANCIAL CORP 0.00% 55,885 $111K
18 IFP Advisors, Inc 0.00% 2,000 $4K
19 VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO 0.00% 154,567 $306K
20 Janney Montgomery Scott LLC 0.00% 15,000 —
21 SBI Securities Co., Ltd. 0.00% 1,322 $3K
22 JANE STREET GROUP, LLC 0.00% 261,892 $519K
23 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 0.00% 1,159,518 $2.3M
24 WOLVERINE ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC 0.00% 1,152 $2K
25 UBS Group AG 0.00% 59,947 $119K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — BRIDGER AEROSPACE GRP HLDGS (BAER)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for BAER?

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added BAER than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for BAER?

Slight buying edge — 56% buying: Last quarter: 23 funds bought or added vs 18 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for BAER holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 12% AUM from top-100: 14 of 51 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 12% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held BAER?

Mostly new holders — 25% entered in last year: Only 11 funds (22%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.