Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Bridger Aerospace Grp Hldgs (BAERW)

24 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in BAERW. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
→ 0
Streak
1Q —
Buyers last Q
33%

Smart Money Signals — BAERW

Based on 25 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

➡️

No change last quarter

last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding this stock didn't change last quarter. Neither a buying nor selling signal on its own — watch the next quarter for direction.
🔻

Below peak — only 52% of 3.0Y high

52% of all-time peak
Only 25 funds hold BAERW today versus a peak of 48 funds at 2023 Q3 — just 52% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
📉

Outflows — 34% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
13 fewer hedge funds hold BAERW compared to a year ago (-34% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🔴

Heavy selling pressure — only 33% buying

4 buying8 selling
Last quarter: 8 funds sold vs only 4 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~3 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 2 → 4 → 2 → 3. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

72% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 72% conviction (2yr+) ■ 24% medium ■ 4% new
18 out of 25 hedge funds have held BAERW for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -0%, value -27%

Value
-26%
Shares
0%
Last quarter: funds added -0% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -27%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

5 → 2 → 4 → 2 → 3 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 2 → 4 → 2 → 3. BAERW is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 76% veterans vs 12% newcomers

■ 76% veterans ■ 12% 1-2yr ■ 12% new
Entry-cohort mix of 25 holders: 19 (76%) are 2+ year veterans, 3 entered 1–2 years ago, and 3 (12%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 1% AUM from top-100

1% from top-100 AUM funds
2 of 24 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 1% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
1.6
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 1.6/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — BAERW

In 2026 Q2, 4 hedge funds were net buyers of BAERW (3 opened a new position, 1 added to an existing one), while 8 reduced or exited (5 trimmed, 3 sold completely) — a 33% buyer ratio, indicating net institutional distribution. Net fund flow last quarter: flat (entries and exits balanced). Total institutional holders: 25.

Hedge Fund Ownership: BAERW

How many hedge funds hold BAERW — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of BAERW vs. share price

Market Analysis: BAERW

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: BAERW

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

0 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
0.0
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.0
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: BAERW
24 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in BAERW. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 24 25 -4.0%
13F Shares 7M 7M -0.34%
Total Value $2M $3M -26.77%
New Positions 3 2 +1
Increased Positions 1 1 -
Closed Positions 3 8 -5
Reduced Positions 5 5 -
Total Calls 1 1 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: BAERW

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

24 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in BAERW. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 22 BAERW holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Aristeia Capital, L.L.C. 0.01% 1,604,853 $449K
2 Canyon Capital Advisors LLC 0.01% 175,000 $49K
3 Greenland Capital Management LP 0.00% 85,546 $24K
4 LMR Partners LLP 0.00% 2,223,836 $623K
5 TENOR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT Co., L.P. 0.00% 274,854 $77K
6 Moore Capital Management, LP 0.00% 100,000 $28K
7 Css LLC/Il 0.00% 36,478 $10K
8 Elequin Capital, LP 0.00% 47,317 $13K
9 Toronto Dominion Bank 0.00% 902,592 $253K
10 Two Sigma Securities, LLC 0.00% 10,599 $3K
11 Clear Street Group Inc. 0.00% 352,122 $99K
12 Whitebox Advisors LLC 0.00% 41,500 $12K
13 Sculptor Capital LP 0.00% 39,240 $11K
14 Saba Capital Management, L.P. 0.00% 11,445 $3K
15 Healthcare of Ontario Pension Plan Trust Fund 0.00% 101,400 $28K
16 Millennium Management LLC 0.00% 334,890 $94K
17 Calamos Advisors LLC 0.00% 25,000 $7K
18 Peak6 LLC 0.00% 30,000 $8K
19 Adage Capital Partners GP, L.L.C. 0.00% 28,551 $8K
20 Jane Street Group, LLC 0.00% 158,352 $44K
21 Jpmorgan Chase & Co 0.00% 100,000 $25K
22 Goldman Sachs Group Inc 0.00% 11,008 $3K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Bridger Aerospace Grp Hldgs (BAERW)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for BAERW?

No change last quarter: The number of hedge funds holding this stock didn't change last quarter. Neither a buying nor selling signal on its own — watch the next quarter for direction.

What is the institutional breadth score for BAERW?

Heavy selling pressure — only 33% buying: Last quarter: 8 funds sold vs only 4 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.

What is the fund quality score for BAERW holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 1% AUM from top-100: 2 of 24 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 1% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held BAERW?

72% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 18 out of 25 hedge funds have held BAERW for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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