Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Caterpillar Inc (CAT)

4K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in CAT. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +327
Streak
5Q ▲
Buyers last Q
52%

Smart Money Signals — CAT

Based on 4063 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 5 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 5 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added CAT than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
4,063 hedge funds hold CAT right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +36% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+1084 new funds entered over the past year (+36% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 52% buying

1944 buying1783 selling
Last quarter: 1,944 funds bought or added vs 1,783 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+71 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new CAT position: 317 → 538 → 416 → 487. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

59% of holders stayed for 2+ years

59% conviction (2yr+) 19% medium 22% new
2,401 out of 4,063 hedge funds have held CAT for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +216%, value +54%

Value
+54%
Shares
+215%
Last quarter: funds added +216% more shares while total portfolio value only changed +54%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~487 new funds/quarter

311 → 317 → 538 → 416 → 487 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 317 → 538 → 416 → 487. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 63% veterans vs 26% newcomers

63% veterans 11% 1-2yr 26% new
Entry-cohort mix of 4,176 holders: 2,633 (63%) are 2+ year veterans, 471 entered 1–2 years ago, and 1,072 (26%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 65% AUM from top-100 funds

65% from top-100 AUM funds
73 of 4045 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 65% of total institutional value in CAT. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.0
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.0/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — CAT

In 2026 Q2, 1944 hedge funds were net buyers of CAT (487 opened a new position, 1457 added to an existing one), while 1783 reduced or exited (1623 trimmed, 160 sold completely) — a 52% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 5 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 65% of total institutional value in CAT is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +327 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 4063.

What Fund Managers Are Saying About CAT

▼ 1 bearish
Michael Burry · Michael Berry Capital short 2026-07-01
Shorting Caterpillar shares due to overvaluation
▶ Watch on YouTubevia Bloomberg Podcasts
AI-generated paraphrases of public interviews · informational only, not investment advice · see all manager views

Hedge Fund Ownership: CAT

How many hedge funds hold CAT — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of CAT vs. share price

Market Analysis: CAT

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: CAT

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Caterpillar Inc (CAT) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much CAT has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLI) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 85d ago
CAT
-23.3%
XLI
-8.0%

CAT outperformed XLI by -15.3% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 40d ago
CAT
-4.7%
XLI
-8.6%

Since the filing became public, CAT outperformed XLI by +3.9% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Strong Institutional Conviction

Multiple high-quality funds hold meaningful positions with strong conviction.

96 top-rated funds 132 high-conviction
Consensus
8.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
8.3
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: CAT
4K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in CAT. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 4016 3736 7.49%
13F Shares 354M 349M 1.46%
Total Value $360.60B $234.07B 54.06%
New Positions 473 416 +57
Increased Positions 1429 1262 +167
Closed Positions 175 179 -4
Reduced Positions 1569 1533 +36
Total Calls 59 54 9.26%
Total Puts 69 71 -2.82%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.17 1.31 Neutral

Statistics: CAT

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

4K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in CAT. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 CAT holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 DRH Investments, Inc. 20.03% 23,767 $25.3M
2 Gates Foundation Trust 19.65% 6,353,614 $6.77B
3 McLaughlin Asset Management, Inc. 12.24% 1,722 $1.8M
4 Westchester Capital Management, Inc. 10.70% 55,808 $59.4M
5 State Farm Mutual Automobile Insurance Co 10.57% 14,509,304 $15.45B
6 Community Bank of Raymore 10.54% 16,803 $17.9M
7 Atwater Malick LLC 8.78% 37,866 $40.3M
8 Bridgelight Financial Advisors, Inc. 8.06% 16,516 $9.5M
9 Outlook Capital Management, LLC 7.86% 22,879 $24.4M
10 Gouws Capital LLC 7.46% 15,066 $16.0M
11 Aull & Monroe Investment Management Corp 7.22% 16,206 $17.3M
12 Independent Wealth Network Inc. 7.18% 26,505 $28.2M
13 Forty-three Eighteen Advisors, LLC 6.65% 9,275 $9.9M
14 Gallo Partners, LP 6.56% 2,779 $3.0M
15 Providence Wealth Advisors, LLC 6.38% 11,040 $10.8M
16 Capital Wealth Planning, LLC 6.37% 1,197,856 $1.28B
17 Boit C F David 6.36% 14,200 $15.1M
18 Marvin & Palmer Associates Inc 6.27% 9,362 $10.0M
19 Cordgrass Capital Advisors, LLC 6.25% 15,753 $16.8M
20 Soros Capital Management LLC 6.25% 32,800 $34.9M
21 Pflug Koory, LLC 5.89% 13,849 $14.7M
22 Eukles Asset Management 5.67% 12,905 $13.7M
23 Sentry LLC 5.56% 18,664 $19.9M
24 Knuff & Co LLC 5.52% 20,482 $21.8M
25 Reliant Investment Management, LLC 5.34% 14,074 $15.0M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Caterpillar Inc (CAT)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for CAT?

Buying streak — 5 quarters in a row: For 5 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added CAT than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for CAT?

Slight buying edge — 52% buying: Last quarter: 1,944 funds bought or added vs 1,783 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for CAT holders?

Elite ownership — 65% AUM from top-100 funds: 73 of 4045 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 65% of total institutional value in CAT. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held CAT?

59% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 2,401 out of 4,063 hedge funds have held CAT for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Caterpillar Inc (CAT) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, CAT has moved -4.7% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to -8.6% for the XLI sector ETF — an outperformance of +3.9%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), CAT has gained -23.3% vs -8.0% for XLI. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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