Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

COINCHECK GROUP NV (CNCKW)

18 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in CNCKW. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -1
Streak
2Q ▼
Buyers last Q
50%

Smart Money Signals — CNCKW

Based on 18 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their CNCKW positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 72% of 3.0Y peak

72% of all-time peak
18 funds currently hold this stock — 72% of the 3.0-year high of 25 funds (reached 2025 Q3). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 14% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
3 fewer hedge funds hold CNCKW compared to a year ago (-14% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 50% buying

4 buying4 selling
Last quarter: 4 funds bought or added vs 4 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~2 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 2 → 5 → 0 → 2. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 22% entered in last year

6% conviction (2yr+) 72% medium 22% new
Only 1 funds (6%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+2224% value, -15% shares)

Value
+2223%
Shares
-15%
Last quarter: total value of institutional CNCKW holdings rose +2224% even though funds reduced share count by 15%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
⚠️

Saturation — most institutions already know this story

4 → 2 → 5 → 0 → 2 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 2 → 5 → 0 → 2. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
📊

Mixed cohorts — 6% veterans, 39% new entrants

6% veterans 56% 1-2yr 39% new
Of 18 current holders: 1 (6%) held 2+ years, 10 held 1–2 years, 7 (39%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
🏆

Elite ownership — 98% AUM from top-100 funds

98% from top-100 AUM funds
4 of 18 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 98% of total institutional value in CNCKW. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
2.2
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.2/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — CNCKW

In 2026 Q1, 4 hedge funds were net buyers of CNCKW (2 opened a new position, 2 added to an existing one), while 4 reduced or exited (1 trimmed, 3 sold completely) — a 50% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. Net selling has persisted for two consecutive quarters. 98% of total institutional value in CNCKW is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -1 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 18.

Hedge Fund Ownership: CNCKW

How many hedge funds hold CNCKW — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of CNCKW vs. share price

Market Analysis: CNCKW

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: CNCKW

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy COINCHECK GROUP NV (CNCKW) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much CNCKW has moved relative to its sector benchmark (SPY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 52d ago
CNCKW
-98.4%
SPY
+14.0%

CNCKW outperformed SPY by -112.4% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 7d ago
CNCKW
+0.0%
SPY
+0.3%

Since the filing became public, CNCKW outperformed SPY by -0.3% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

0 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
0.0
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.0
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: CNCKW
18 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in CNCKW. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 18 19 -5.26%
13F Shares 2M 2M -15.43%
Total Value $28M $1M 2223.83%
New Positions 2 0 +2
Increased Positions 2 3 -1
Closed Positions 3 6 -3
Reduced Positions 1 3 -2
Total Calls 1 2 -50.0%
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: CNCKW

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

18 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in CNCKW. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 18 institutional holders of CNCKW — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Oasis Management Co Ltd. 0.01% 160,430 $237K
2 Q Global Advisors, LLC 0.01% 89,237
3 DUPONT CAPITAL MANAGEMENT CORP 0.00% 30,000 $8K
4 HIGHBRIDGE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 0.00% 164,127 $28K
5 JPMORGAN CHASE & CO 0.00% 164,127 $27.9M
6 LMR Partners LLP 0.00% 521,260 $89K
7 MOORE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP 0.00% 50,000 $8K
8 Vestcor Inc 0.00% 19,999
9 TPG GP A, LLC 0.00% 30,000 $5K
10 WHITEBOX ADVISORS LLC 0.00% 50,079 $9K
11 HEALTHCARE OF ONTARIO PENSION PLAN TRUST FUND 0.00% 200,000 $56K
12 Calamos Advisors LLC 0.00% 100,000 $17K
13 TENOR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT Co., L.P. 0.00% 20,000 $3K
14 Clear Street Group Inc. 0.00% 58,672 $10K
15 WOLVERINE ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC 0.00% 21,379 $4K
16 MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC 0.00% 169,823 $29K
17 D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. 0.00% 21,831 $6K
18 JANE STREET GROUP, LLC 0.00% 44,937 $8K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — COINCHECK GROUP NV (CNCKW)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for CNCKW?

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their CNCKW positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for CNCKW?

Slight buying edge — 50% buying: Last quarter: 4 funds bought or added vs 4 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for CNCKW holders?

Elite ownership — 98% AUM from top-100 funds: 4 of 18 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 98% of total institutional value in CNCKW. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held CNCKW?

Mostly new holders — 22% entered in last year: Only 1 funds (6%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.

Is it too late to buy COINCHECK GROUP NV (CNCKW) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, CNCKW has moved +0.0% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +0.3% for the SPY sector ETF — an outperformance of -0.3%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), CNCKW has gained -98.4% vs +14.0% for SPY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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