Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Conocophillips (COP)

2K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in COP. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +229
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
56%

Smart Money Signals — COP

Based on 2567 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added COP than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
2,567 hedge funds hold COP right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +9% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+216 new funds entered over the past year (+9% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 56% buying

1363 buying1073 selling
Last quarter: 1,363 funds bought or added vs 1,073 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+146 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new COP position: 141 → 175 → 246 → 392. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

70% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 70% conviction (2yr+) ■ 15% medium ■ 15% new
1,804 out of 2,567 hedge funds have held COP for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+36% value, -1% shares)

Value
+36%
Shares
-1%
Last quarter: total value of institutional COP holdings rose +36% even though funds reduced share count by 1%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

186 → 141 → 175 → 246 → 392 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 141 → 175 → 246 → 392. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 73% veterans vs 16% newcomers

■ 73% veterans ■ 11% 1-2yr ■ 16% new
Entry-cohort mix of 2,648 holders: 1,943 (73%) are 2+ year veterans, 280 entered 1–2 years ago, and 425 (16%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 66% AUM from top-100 funds

66% from top-100 AUM funds
71 of 2552 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 66% of total institutional value in COP. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.5
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.5/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — COP

In 2026 Q1, 1363 hedge funds were net buyers of COP (392 opened a new position, 971 added to an existing one), while 1073 reduced or exited (910 trimmed, 163 sold completely) — a 56% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. 66% of total institutional value in COP is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +229 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 2567.

Hedge Fund Ownership: COP

How many hedge funds hold COP — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of COP vs. share price

Market Analysis: COP

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: COP

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

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Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

70 top-rated funds 16 high-conviction
Consensus
8.0
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.8
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: COP
2K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in COP. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 2435 2567 -5.14%
13F Shares 1.04B 1.03B 0.92%
Total Value $100.97B $126.41B -20.12%
New Positions 181 392 -211
Increased Positions 938 960 -22
Closed Positions 306 163 +143
Reduced Positions 966 879 +87
Total Calls 51 48 6.25%
Total Puts 43 47 -8.51%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.84 0.98 Neutral

Statistics: COP

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

2K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in COP. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 COP holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Mosaic Advisors LLC 7.39% 52,976 $5.5M
2 Hatch Cove Capital, LLC 6.71% 145,500 $15.1M
3 Adams Natural Resources Fund, INC. 6.05% 444,303 $46.2M
4 Eagle Capital Management LLC 5.55% 17,477,615 $1.82B
5 McAlvany Wealth Management LLC 3.79% 48,711 $5.1M
6 R.H. Investment Group, LLC 3.76% 47,998 $5.0M
7 Smead Capital Management, Inc. 3.52% 1,577,846 $164.0M
8 Foundation Resource Management Inc 3.47% 286,730 $29.8M
9 Paragon Capital Management LLC 3.40% 70,700 $7.3M
10 Hamlin Capital Management, LLC 3.39% 1,451,322 $150.9M
11 Advisory Resource Group 3.22% 205,993 $21.4M
12 Turas Capital Management LP 3.21% 67,201 $7.0M
13 Sagefield Capital LP 2.94% 381,634 $39.7M
14 Montgomery Investment Management Inc 2.94% 93,221 $9.7M
15 Mh & Associates Securities Management Corp /Adv 2.92% 31,314 $3.3M
16 Pring Turner Capital Group Inc 2.74% 41,037 $4.8M
17 Outlook Capital Management, LLC 2.69% 80,045 $8.3M
18 Hamel Associates, INC. 2.62% 91,424 $9.5M
19 Murphy Pohlad Asset Management LLC 2.46% 67,899 $7.1M
20 Skba Capital Management LLC 2.34% 136,625 $14.2M
21 Union Heritage Capital, LLC 2.16% 61,338 $6.4M
22 Castleview Partners, LLC 2.15% 47,126 $4.9M
23 Harris Associates L P 2.09% 15,178,673 $1.58B
24 Lakewood Asset Management LLC 2.08% 36,504 $3.8M
25 Childress Capital Advisors, LLC 2.07% 121,343 $12.6M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Conocophillips (COP)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for COP?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added COP than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for COP?

Slight buying edge — 56% buying: Last quarter: 1,363 funds bought or added vs 1,073 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for COP holders?

Elite ownership — 66% AUM from top-100 funds: 71 of 2552 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 66% of total institutional value in COP. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held COP?

70% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 1,804 out of 2,567 hedge funds have held COP for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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