Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP)

2K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in COP. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +83
Streak
1Q ▲
Buyers last Q
47%

Smart Money Signals — COP

Based on 2334 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added COP than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (98% of max)

98% of all-time peak
2,334 hedge funds hold COP right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
〰️

Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year

fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding COP is almost the same as a year ago (-43 funds, -2% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 47% buying

1043 buying1159 selling
Last quarter: 1,159 funds reduced or exited vs 1,043 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+73 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new COP position: 185 → 140 → 173 → 246. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

74% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 74% conviction (2yr+) ■ 15% medium ■ 11% new
1,719 out of 2,334 hedge funds have held COP for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

338 → 185 → 140 → 173 → 246 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 185 → 140 → 173 → 246. A growing number of institutions are discovering COP each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 73% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 73% veterans ■ 10% 1-2yr ■ 18% new
Of 2,409 current holders: 1,751 (73%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 68% AUM from top-100 funds

68% from top-100 AUM funds
72 of 2334 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 68% of total institutional value in COP. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.3
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.3/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — COP

In 2025 Q4, 1043 hedge funds were net buyers of COP (246 opened a new position, 797 added to an existing one), while 1159 reduced or exited (996 trimmed, 163 sold completely) — a 47% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 68% of total institutional value in COP is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +83 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 2334.

Hedge Fund Ownership: COP

How many hedge funds hold COP — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of COP vs. share price

Market Analysis: COP

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: COP

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

174 top-rated funds 12 high-conviction
Consensus
9.7
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.8
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: COP
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 2 days 2K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in COP. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 2252 2181 3.26%
13F Shares 1.02B 1.03B -0.5%
Total Value $91.66B $93.21B -1.66%
New Positions 233 168 +65
Increased Positions 861 909 -48
Closed Positions 162 174 -12
Reduced Positions 1022 970 +52
Total Calls 39 44 -11.36%
Total Puts 44 46 -4.35%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.13 1.05 Neutral

Statistics: COP

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

2K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in COP. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 institutional holders of COP — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Mosaic Advisors LLC 9.65% 52,976 $6.5M
2 EAGLE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 8.37% 18,910,677 $2.50B
3 Generali Powszechne Towarzystwo Emerytalne 7.53% 322,500 $42.6M
4 HATCH COVE CAPITAL, LLC 6.17% 122,500 $16.2M
5 ADAMS NATURAL RESOURCES FUND, INC. 5.77% 377,203 $49.8M
6 Turas Capital Management LP 5.20% 154,165 $20.3M
7 Advisory Resource Group 4.98% 219,189 $28.9M
8 Smead Capital Management, Inc. 4.80% 1,671,303 $220.6M
9 Hamlin Capital Management, LLC 4.77% 1,495,710 $197.4M
10 Paragon Capital Management LLC 4.72% 72,246 $9.5M
11 R.H. Investment Group, LLC 4.65% 48,163 $6.0M
12 McAlvany Wealth Management LLC 4.30% 48,071 $6.4M
13 FOUNDATION RESOURCE MANAGEMENT INC 4.27% 287,236 $37.9M
14 MONTGOMERY INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC 4.22% 93,719 $12.4M
15 MH & ASSOCIATES SECURITIES MANAGEMENT CORP /ADV 3.62% 31,418 $4.1M
16 HAMEL ASSOCIATES, INC. 3.49% 92,619 $12.2M
17 Castleview Partners, LLC 3.35% 49,443 $6.5M
18 Murphy Pohlad Asset Management LLC 3.24% 68,424 $9.0M
19 J. Team Financial, Inc. 3.12% 21,129 $2.8M
20 Findlay Park Partners LLP 3.11% 1,690,371 $223.1M
21 Sagefield Capital LP 3.09% 325,368 $42.9M
22 Lakewood Asset Management LLC 3.09% 36,561 $4.8M
23 HARRIS ASSOCIATES L P 3.07% 17,428,651 $2.30B
24 SKBA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 2.98% 164,645 $21.7M
25 CFC Planning Co LLC 2.98% 31,669 $4.2M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for COP?

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added COP than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for COP?

More sellers than buyers — 47% buying: Last quarter: 1,159 funds reduced or exited vs 1,043 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for COP holders?

Elite ownership — 68% AUM from top-100 funds: 72 of 2334 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 68% of total institutional value in COP. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held COP?

74% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 1,719 out of 2,334 hedge funds have held COP for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.