Based on 72 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their CSAN positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊
High ownership — 84% of 3.0Y peak
84% of all-time peak
72 funds currently hold this stock — 84% of the 3.0-year high of 86 funds (reached 2024 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
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Outflows — 16% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
14 fewer hedge funds hold CSAN compared to a year ago (-16% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 48% buying
41 buying45 selling
Last quarter: 45 funds reduced or exited vs 41 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️
Fewer new buyers each quarter (-9 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 23 → 11 → 27 → 18. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
📌
Mixed — 39% long-term, 36% new
■ 39% conviction (2yr+)
■ 25% medium
■ 36% new
Of the 72 current holders: 28 (39%) held >2 years, 18 held 1–2 years, and 26 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
📈
Growing discovery — still being found
24 → 23 → 11 → 27 → 18 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 23 → 11 → 27 → 18. A growing number of institutions are discovering CSAN each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️
Veteran-anchored — 47% veterans vs 38% newcomers
■ 47% veterans
■ 15% 1-2yr
■ 38% new
Entry-cohort mix of 72 holders: 34 (47%) are 2+ year veterans, 11 entered 1–2 years ago, and 27 (38%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
✅
Strong quality — 21% AUM from major funds
21% from top-100 AUM funds
17 of 72 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 21% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
Exit risk score 3.2/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.