Based on 26 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their CTM positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🔻
Below peak — only 63% of 3.0Y high
63% of all-time peak
Only 26 funds hold CTM today versus a peak of 41 funds at 2025 Q3 — just 63% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
📶
Steady growth — +4% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+1 new funds entered over the past year (+4% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 30% buying
11 buying26 selling
Last quarter: 26 funds sold vs only 11 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~7 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 13 → 14 → 8 → 7. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
📌
Mixed — 31% long-term, 38% new
■ 31% conviction (2yr+)
■ 31% medium
■ 38% new
Of the 26 current holders: 8 (31%) held >2 years, 8 held 1–2 years, and 10 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares -41%, value -61%
Last quarter: funds added -41% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -61%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
⚠️
Saturation — most institutions already know this story
11 → 13 → 14 → 8 → 7 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 13 → 14 → 8 → 7. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
📊
Mixed cohorts — 38% veterans, 54% new entrants
■ 38% veterans
■ 8% 1-2yr
■ 54% new
Of 26 current holders: 10 (38%) held 2+ years, 2 held 1–2 years, 14 (54%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
✅
Strong quality — 24% AUM from major funds
24% from top-100 AUM funds
8 of 26 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 24% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
Exit risk score 3.1/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.