Based on 253 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their DVAX positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (95% of max)
95% of all-time peak
253 hedge funds hold DVAX right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
〰️
Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year
fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding DVAX is almost the same as a year ago (+8 funds, +3% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 46% buying
130 buying153 selling
Last quarter: 153 funds reduced or exited vs 130 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
📈
More new buyers each quarter (+24 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new DVAX position: 41 → 39 → 32 → 56. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒
62% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 62% conviction (2yr+)
■ 17% medium
■ 21% new
156 out of 253 hedge funds have held DVAX for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares -0%, value -21%
Last quarter: funds added -0% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -21%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~56 new funds/quarter
38 → 41 → 39 → 32 → 56 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 41 → 39 → 32 → 56. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 66% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 66% veterans
■ 10% 1-2yr
■ 23% new
Of 261 current holders: 173 (66%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
✅
Strong quality — 31% AUM from major funds
31% from top-100 AUM funds
39 of 253 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 31% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
Exit risk score 3.5/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.