Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Fact II Acquisition Corp (FACT)

41 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in FACT. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
→ 0
Streak
1Q —
Buyers last Q
47%

Smart Money Signals — FACT

Based on 41 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

➡️

No change last quarter

last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding this stock didn't change last quarter. Neither a buying nor selling signal on its own — watch the next quarter for direction.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
41 hedge funds hold FACT right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +28% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+9 new funds entered over the past year (+28% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 47% buying

14 buying16 selling
Last quarter: 16 funds reduced or exited vs 14 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~4 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 12 → 4 → 3 → 4. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 24% entered in last year

■ 5% conviction (2yr+) ■ 71% medium ■ 24% new
Only 2 funds (5%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
⚠️

Saturation — most institutions already know this story

23 → 12 → 4 → 3 → 4 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 12 → 4 → 3 → 4. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
🌱

Early stage — 80% of holders entered in last year

■ 5% veterans ■ 15% 1-2yr ■ 80% new
Of 41 current holders: 33 (80%) entered in the past year, only 2 (5%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 8% AUM from top-100

8% from top-100 AUM funds
4 of 41 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 8% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
4.0
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.0/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — FACT

In 2026 Q1, 14 hedge funds were net buyers of FACT (4 opened a new position, 10 added to an existing one), while 16 reduced or exited (12 trimmed, 4 sold completely) — a 47% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. Net fund flow last quarter: flat (entries and exits balanced). Total institutional holders: 41.

Hedge Fund Ownership: FACT

How many hedge funds hold FACT — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of FACT vs. share price

Market Analysis: FACT

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: FACT

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Fact II Acquisition Corp (FACT) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much FACT has moved relative to its sector benchmark (SPY) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 46d ago
FACT
+0.4%
SPY
+4.0%

FACT outperformed SPY by -3.6% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 1d ago
FACT
+0.0%
SPY
+0.0%

Since the filing became public, FACT outperformed SPY by +0.0% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

1 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
1.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
1.0
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: FACT
2026 Q2 Stats Unlock in 4 days 41 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in FACT. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 41 41 -
13F Shares 17M 17M -2.08%
Total Value $170M $180M -5.48%
New Positions 4 3 +1
Increased Positions 10 12 -2
Closed Positions 4 1 +3
Reduced Positions 12 7 +5
Total Calls 0 0 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: FACT

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Price/Book (mrq) --
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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

41 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in FACT. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
2026 Q2 filings are still coming in. Only funds that have filed so far are shown — top holders may not have reported yet. Full 13F data typically settles by ~50 days after quarter-end.
Top 25 FACT holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Wealthspring Capital LLC 1.72% 725,870 $7.7M
2 Berkley W R Corp 0.58% 1,153,140 $12.3M
3 Crossingbridge Advisors, LLC 0.55% 292,461 $3.1M
4 Radcliffe Capital Management, L.P. 0.42% 521,872 $5.5M
5 Highbridge Capital Management LLC 0.42% 1,608,394 $17.1M
6 Westchester Capital Management, LLC 0.38% 726,116 $7.7M
7 Gritstone Asset Management LLC 0.26% 25,000 $266K
8 TENOR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT Co., L.P. 0.22% 1,500,000 $15.9M
9 AQR Arbitrage LLC 0.19% 1,281,595 $13.6M
10 Meteora Capital, LLC 0.17% 190,138 $2.0M
11 Shay Capital LLC 0.16% 239,678 $2.5M
12 Periscope Capital INC. 0.16% 175,000 $1.9M
13 Heights Capital Management, Inc 0.15% 60,000 $638K
14 Rangeley Capital, LLC 0.14% 14,886 $158K
15 Magnetar Financial LLC 0.10% 1,061,498 $11.3M
16 Picton Mahoney Asset Management 0.10% 1,239,837 $13.2M
17 Shaolin Capital Management LLC 0.09% 185,166 $2.0M
18 Robinson Capital Management, LLC 0.07% 15,250 $162K
19 Mizuho Securities USA LLC 0.06% 250,904 $2.6M
20 DLD Asset Management, LP 0.05% 76,830 $817K
21 Fort Baker Capital Management LP 0.05% 58,971 $627K
22 Context Capital Management, LLC 0.04% 200,000 $2.1M
23 LMR Partners LLP 0.04% 1,002,470 $10.7M
24 Whitebox Advisors LLC 0.03% 250,000 $2.7M
25 Centiva Capital, LP 0.03% 300,946 $3.2M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Fact II Acquisition Corp (FACT)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for FACT?

No change last quarter: The number of hedge funds holding this stock didn't change last quarter. Neither a buying nor selling signal on its own — watch the next quarter for direction.

What is the institutional breadth score for FACT?

More sellers than buyers — 47% buying: Last quarter: 16 funds reduced or exited vs 14 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for FACT holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 8% AUM from top-100: 4 of 41 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 8% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held FACT?

Mostly new holders — 24% entered in last year: Only 2 funds (5%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.

Is it too late to buy Fact II Acquisition Corp (FACT) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, FACT has moved +0.0% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to +0.0% for the SPY sector ETF — an outperformance of +0.0%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), FACT has gained +0.4% vs +4.0% for SPY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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