Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

FORESTAR GROUP INC (FOR)

163 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in FOR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
→ 0
Streak
1Q —
Buyers last Q
53%

Smart Money Signals — FOR

Based on 165 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

➡️

No change last quarter

last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding this stock didn't change last quarter. Neither a buying nor selling signal on its own — watch the next quarter for direction.
📊

High ownership — 88% of 3.0Y peak

88% of all-time peak
165 funds currently hold this stock — 88% of the 3.0-year high of 187 funds (reached 2024 Q1). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
〰️

Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year

fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding FOR is almost the same as a year ago (+4 funds, +2% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 53% buying

88 buying77 selling
Last quarter: 88 funds bought or added vs 77 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+7 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new FOR position: 17 → 27 → 28 → 35. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

56% of holders stayed for 2+ years

56% conviction (2yr+) 24% medium 21% new
92 out of 165 hedge funds have held FOR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

24 → 17 → 27 → 28 → 35 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 17 → 27 → 28 → 35. A growing number of institutions are discovering FOR each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 61% of holders stayed 2+ years

61% veterans 15% 1-2yr 25% new
Of 165 current holders: 100 (61%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 47% AUM from top-100 funds

47% from top-100 AUM funds
41 of 165 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 47% of total institutional value in FOR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.0
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.0/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — FOR

In 2026 Q1, 88 hedge funds were net buyers of FOR (35 opened a new position, 53 added to an existing one), while 77 reduced or exited (42 trimmed, 35 sold completely) — a 53% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. 47% of total institutional value in FOR is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: flat (entries and exits balanced). Total institutional holders: 165.

Hedge Fund Ownership: FOR

How many hedge funds hold FOR — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of FOR vs. share price

Market Analysis: FOR

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: FOR

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy FORESTAR GROUP INC (FOR) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much FOR has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLRE) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 66d ago
FOR
+17.3%
XLRE
+6.6%

FOR outperformed XLRE by +10.7% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 21d ago
FOR
+10.4%
XLRE
+0.6%

Since the filing became public, FOR outperformed XLRE by +9.8% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

18 top-rated funds 1 high-conviction
Consensus
5.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
1.3
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: FOR
163 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in FOR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 163 165 -1.21%
13F Shares 18M 18M 2.12%
Total Value $442M $444M -0.28%
New Positions 34 28 +6
Increased Positions 51 44 +7
Closed Positions 36 20 +16
Reduced Positions 43 66 -23
Total Calls 1 1 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: FOR

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

163 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in FOR. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 institutional holders of FOR — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Oakum Bay Capital LLC 3.43% 261,527 $6.4M
2 Woodson Capital Management, LP 1.67% 435,000 $10.6M
3 SANDLER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT 1.40% 110,965 $2.7M
4 DENALI ADVISORS LLC 0.80% 293,991 $7.2M
5 HEARTLAND ADVISORS INC 0.63% 505,090 $12.3M
6 MOODY ALDRICH PARTNERS LLC 0.58% 131,272 $3.2M
7 Total Wealth Planning & Management, Inc. 0.46% 25,486 $623K
8 HUSSMAN STRATEGIC ADVISORS, INC. 0.22% 42,000 $1.0M
9 Invenomic Capital Management LP 0.15% 130,642 $3.2M
10 SummitTX Capital, L.P. 0.13% 174,627 $4.3M
11 Integrated Quantitative Investments LLC 0.10% 22,160 $542K
12 COOPER CREEK PARTNERS MANAGEMENT LLC 0.08% 100,189 $2K
13 BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC 0.08% 159,159 $3.9M
14 PDT Partners, LLC 0.07% 49,376 $1.2M
15 Legato Capital Management LLC 0.05% 22,160 $542K
16 MARTINGALE ASSET MANAGEMENT L P 0.05% 74,595 $1.8M
17 LEE DANNER & BASS INC 0.04% 26,745 $654K
18 JBF Capital, Inc. 0.04% 10,000 $244K
19 SHUFRO ROSE & CO LLC 0.03% 16,000 $391K
20 JACOBS LEVY EQUITY MANAGEMENT, INC 0.03% 257,574 $6.3M
21 Harel Insurance Investments & Financial Services Ltd. 0.03% 157,313 $4K
22 DARK FOREST CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP 0.02% 10,091 $247K
23 XTX Topco Ltd 0.01% 32,635 $798K
24 NewEdge Wealth, LLC 0.01% 45,442 $1.1M
25 Empowered Funds, LLC 0.01% 79,159 $1.9M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — FORESTAR GROUP INC (FOR)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for FOR?

No change last quarter: The number of hedge funds holding this stock didn't change last quarter. Neither a buying nor selling signal on its own — watch the next quarter for direction.

What is the institutional breadth score for FOR?

Slight buying edge — 53% buying: Last quarter: 88 funds bought or added vs 77 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for FOR holders?

Elite ownership — 47% AUM from top-100 funds: 41 of 165 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 47% of total institutional value in FOR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held FOR?

56% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 92 out of 165 hedge funds have held FOR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy FORESTAR GROUP INC (FOR) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, FOR has moved +10.4% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +0.6% for the XLRE sector ETF — an outperformance of +9.8%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), FOR has gained +17.3% vs +6.6% for XLRE. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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