Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL)

88 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in FOSL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +5
Streak
3Q ▲
Buyers last Q
60%

Smart Money Signals — FOSL

Based on 88 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added FOSL than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
88 hedge funds hold FOSL right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +42% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+26 new funds entered over the past year (+42% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks. The peak was reached in just 3 quarters from the low — a sharp move.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 60% buying

52 buying35 selling
Last quarter: 52 funds were net buyers (19 opened a brand new position + 33 added to an existing one). Only 35 were sellers (21 trimmed + 14 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~19 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 4 → 26 → 23 → 19. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

59% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 59% conviction (2yr+) ■ 14% medium ■ 27% new
52 out of 88 hedge funds have held FOSL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +9%, value -88%

Value
-88%
Shares
+9%
Last quarter: funds added +9% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -88%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

6 → 4 → 26 → 23 → 19 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 4 → 26 → 23 → 19. A growing number of institutions are discovering FOSL each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 66% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 66% veterans ■ 9% 1-2yr ■ 25% new
Of 92 current holders: 61 (66%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
✅

Strong quality — 27% AUM from major funds

27% from top-100 AUM funds
24 of 88 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 27% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.3
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.3/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — FOSL

In 2026 Q1, 52 hedge funds were net buyers of FOSL (19 opened a new position, 33 added to an existing one), while 35 reduced or exited (21 trimmed, 14 sold completely) — a 60% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. This marks 3 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 27% of total institutional value in FOSL is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +5 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 88.

Hedge Fund Ownership: FOSL

How many hedge funds hold FOSL — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of FOSL vs. share price

Market Analysis: FOSL

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: FOSL

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much FOSL has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 54d ago
FOSL
+0.0%
XLY
+9.4%

FOSL outperformed XLY by -9.4% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 9d ago
FOSL
+2.5%
XLY
+2.3%

Since the filing became public, FOSL outperformed XLY by +0.2% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

6 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
3.7
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
1.0
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: FOSL
88 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in FOSL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 88 83 6.02%
13F Shares 34M 31M 9.23%
Total Value $141M $1.18B -88.11%
New Positions 19 23 -4
Increased Positions 31 26 +5
Closed Positions 14 17 -3
Reduced Positions 20 21 -1
Total Calls 3 3 -
Total Puts 1 1 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.33 0.33 Bullish

Statistics: FOSL

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

88 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in FOSL. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 institutional holders of FOSL — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 SYCAMORE PARTNERS MANAGEMENT, L.P. 100.00% 284,050 $1.2M
2 HG Vora Capital Management, LLC 4.89% 2,163,349 $9.3M
3 MILLER VALUE PARTNERS, LLC 2.73% 2,425,185 $10.5M
4 Kanen Wealth Management LLC 1.76% 1,132,802 $4.9M
5 Nantahala Capital Management, LLC 0.86% 5,404,024 $23.3M
6 Spark Investment Management LLC 0.58% 55,900 $241K
7 PRESCOTT GROUP CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. 0.42% 979,894 $4.2M
8 Worth Venture Partners, LLC 0.42% 30,745 $133K
9 Huntleigh Advisors, Inc. 0.22% 302,687 $1.3M
10 Cannon Global Investment Management, LLC 0.22% 25,600 $110K
11 Quinn Opportunity Partners LLC 0.17% 766,262 $3.3M
12 Informed Momentum Co LLC 0.10% 200,894 $866K
13 LVW Advisors, LLC 0.06% 150,000 $646K
14 Partnership Wealth Management, LLC 0.05% 16,100 $69K
15 BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC 0.05% 550,799 $2.4M
16 683 Capital Management, LLC 0.04% 175,000 $754K
17 MANGROVE PARTNERS IM, LLC 0.03% 84,069 $362K
18 RBF Capital, LLC 0.02% 90,000 $388K
19 Diametric Capital, LP 0.02% 17,968 $77K
20 Catalyst Funds Management Pty Ltd 0.01% 20,300 $87K
21 Harvest Investment Services, LLC 0.01% 18,287 $79K
22 Caprock Group, LLC 0.01% 114,129 $492K
23 EWA, LLC 0.01% 12,021 $52K
24 Headlands Technologies LLC 0.01% 23,792 $103K
25 Ancora Advisors LLC 0.01% 73,010 $315K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for FOSL?

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added FOSL than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for FOSL?

More buyers than sellers — 60% buying: Last quarter: 52 funds were net buyers (19 opened a brand new position + 33 added to an existing one). Only 35 were sellers (21 trimmed + 14 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for FOSL holders?

Strong quality — 27% AUM from major funds: 24 of 88 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 27% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held FOSL?

59% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 52 out of 88 hedge funds have held FOSL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, FOSL has moved +2.5% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +2.3% for the XLY sector ETF — an outperformance of +0.2%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), FOSL has gained +0.0% vs +9.4% for XLY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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