Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

ISHARES TR (GNMA)

104 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in GNMA. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -1
Streak
3Q ▼
Buyers last Q
48%

Smart Money Signals — GNMA

Based on 104 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their GNMA positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 87% of 3.0Y peak

87% of all-time peak
104 funds currently hold this stock — 87% of the 3.0-year high of 119 funds (reached 2023 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 9% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
10 fewer hedge funds hold GNMA compared to a year ago (-9% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 48% buying

48 buying53 selling
Last quarter: 53 funds reduced or exited vs 48 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+7 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new GNMA position: 10 → 6 → 6 → 13. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

64% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 64% conviction (2yr+) ■ 27% medium ■ 9% new
67 out of 104 hedge funds have held GNMA for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

27 → 10 → 6 → 6 → 13 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 10 → 6 → 6 → 13. A growing number of institutions are discovering GNMA each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 56% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 56% veterans ■ 24% 1-2yr ■ 20% new
Of 104 current holders: 58 (56%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
✅

Strong quality — 21% AUM from major funds

21% from top-100 AUM funds
12 of 104 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 21% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
2.7
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — GNMA

In 2025 Q4, 48 hedge funds were net buyers of GNMA (13 opened a new position, 35 added to an existing one), while 53 reduced or exited (39 trimmed, 14 sold completely) — a 48% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. This extends a 3-quarter selling streak, suggesting sustained institutional caution. 21% of total institutional value in GNMA is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -1 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 104.

Hedge Fund Ownership: GNMA

How many hedge funds hold GNMA — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of GNMA vs. share price

Market Analysis: GNMA

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: GNMA

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

8 top-rated funds 3 high-conviction
Consensus
4.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.7
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: GNMA
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 9 days 104 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in GNMA. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 104 105 -0.95%
13F Shares 7M 6M 13.49%
Total Value $327M $287M 13.96%
New Positions 13 6 +7
Increased Positions 35 35 -
Closed Positions 14 11 +3
Reduced Positions 39 45 -6
Total Calls 0 0 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: GNMA

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

104 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in GNMA. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 25 institutional holders of GNMA — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Northland Capital Management LLC 5.76% 237,642 $10.5M
2 Prosperity Planning, Inc. 3.47% 308,639 $13.7M
3 Avise Financial Cooperative, Inc. 3.21% 87,595 $3.9M
4 LifePlan Financial, LLC 1.68% 51,393 $2.3M
5 Beverly Hills Private Wealth, LLC 1.03% 139,089 $6.2M
6 MYECFO, LLC 0.93% 49,926 $2.2M
7 McGuire Investment Group, LLC 0.86% 170,971 $7.6M
8 GUIDANCE CAPITAL, INC 0.73% 74,027 $3.3M
9 5T Wealth, LLC 0.65% 37,144 $1.6M
10 DMC Group, LLC 0.65% 21,565 $956K
11 Sunflower Bank, N.A. 0.63% 55,380 $2.5M
12 TSA Wealth Managment LLC 0.57% 39,565 $1.8M
13 Bigelow Investment Advisors, LLC 0.50% 28,009 $1.2M
14 KICKSTAND VENTURES, LLC. 0.42% 45,451 $2.0M
15 FARMERS & MERCHANTS INVESTMENTS INC 0.39% 320,604 $14.2M
16 Pillar Financial Advisors, LLC 0.29% 11,242 $498K
17 Planned Solutions, Inc. 0.26% 17,885 $793K
18 Kelman-Lazarov, Inc. 0.16% 25,682 $1.1M
19 Horst & Graben Wealth Management LLC 0.16% 25,639 $1.1M
20 American Institute for Advanced Investment Management, LLP 0.15% 5,234 $232K
21 FIRETHORN WEALTH PARTNERS, LLC 0.12% 7,165 $318K
22 Argent Advisors, Inc. 0.11% 9,005 $399K
23 OneDigital Investment Advisors LLC 0.11% 251,482 $11.1M
24 Procyon Advisors, LLC 0.10% 47,598 $2.1M
25 Shared Vision Wealth Group LLC 0.10% 5,606 $249K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — ISHARES TR (GNMA)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for GNMA?

Selling streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their GNMA positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for GNMA?

More sellers than buyers — 48% buying: Last quarter: 53 funds reduced or exited vs 48 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for GNMA holders?

Strong quality — 21% AUM from major funds: 12 of 104 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 21% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held GNMA?

64% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 67 out of 104 hedge funds have held GNMA for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.