Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Hci Group Inc (HCI)

272 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in HCI. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -6
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
49%

Smart Money Signals — HCI

Based on 272 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their HCI positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (98% of max)

98% of all-time peak
272 hedge funds hold HCI right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +18% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+41 new funds entered over the past year (+18% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 49% buying

135 buying138 selling
Last quarter: 138 funds reduced or exited vs 135 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-8 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 51 → 46 → 52 → 44. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

52% of holders stayed for 2+ years

52% conviction (2yr+) 24% medium 24% new
141 out of 272 hedge funds have held HCI for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -16%, value -33%

Value
-33%
Shares
-16%
Last quarter: funds added -16% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -33%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~44 new funds/quarter

57 → 51 → 46 → 52 → 44 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 51 → 46 → 52 → 44. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 56% veterans vs 30% newcomers

56% veterans 14% 1-2yr 30% new
Entry-cohort mix of 277 holders: 154 (56%) are 2+ year veterans, 39 entered 1–2 years ago, and 84 (30%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 40% AUM from top-100 funds

40% from top-100 AUM funds
45 of 272 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 40% of total institutional value in HCI. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.8
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — HCI

In 2026 Q1, 135 hedge funds were net buyers of HCI (44 opened a new position, 91 added to an existing one), while 138 reduced or exited (88 trimmed, 50 sold completely) — a 49% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 40% of total institutional value in HCI is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -6 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 272.

Hedge Fund Ownership: HCI

How many hedge funds hold HCI — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of HCI vs. share price

Market Analysis: HCI

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: HCI

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Hci Group Inc (HCI) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much HCI has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLF) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 91d ago
HCI
+15.4%
XLF
+9.2%

HCI outperformed XLF by +6.2% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 46d ago
HCI
+14.1%
XLF
+5.5%

Since the filing became public, HCI outperformed XLF by +8.6% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

21 top-rated funds 2 high-conviction
Consensus
5.8
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.2
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: HCI
272 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in HCI. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 272 278 -2.16%
13F Shares 9M 10M -16.0%
Total Value $1.34B $2.00B -33.05%
New Positions 44 52 -8
Increased Positions 87 112 -25
Closed Positions 50 32 +18
Reduced Positions 87 73 +14
Total Calls 3 8 -62.5%
Total Puts 2 2 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.67 0.25 Bullish

Statistics: HCI

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

272 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in HCI. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 HCI holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Khrom Capital Management LLC 8.21% 580,268 $89.7M
2 Base Wealth Management LLC 5.65% 65,327 $10.1M
3 Philadelphia Financial Management of San Francisco, LLC 4.30% 96,023 $14.8M
4 Bernzott Capital Advisors 2.60% 35,028 $5.4M
5 Essex Investment Management Co LLC 1.41% 57,634 $8.9M
6 Hood River Capital Management LLC 0.97% 623,801 $96.4M
7 Ridgewood Investments LLC 0.67% 10,552 $1.6M
8 Verdad Advisers, LP 0.65% 3,737 $578K
9 FJ Capital Management LLC 0.65% 37,287 $5.8M
10 Cutler Capital Management, LLC 0.63% 15,104 $2.3M
11 Chatham Capital Group, INC. 0.56% 25,120 $3.9M
12 Odyssean, LLC 0.49% 8,723 $1.3M
13 Freestone Grove Partners LP 0.37% 343,386 $53.1M
14 Global Financial Private Client, LLC 0.35% 6,956 $1.1M
15 Precision Wealth Strategies, LLC 0.31% 6,038 $934K
16 Wakefield Asset Management LLLP 0.31% 7,558 $1.2M
17 Yorktown Management & Research Co Inc 0.23% 1,800 $278K
18 Navellier & Associates Inc 0.21% 12,797 $2.0M
19 Tweedy, Browne Co LLC 0.17% 10,906 $2.1M
20 Moran Wealth Management, LLC 0.15% 31,898 $4.9M
21 Dynamic Technology Lab Private Ltd 0.14% 5,491 $849K
22 Inspire Investing, LLC 0.14% 10,792 $1.7M
23 Sanchez Gaunt Capital Management, LLC 0.13% 1,338 $207K
24 Baldwin Wealth Partners LLC/Ma 0.13% 11,337 $1.8M
25 Legato Capital Management LLC 0.12% 8,804 $1.4M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Hci Group Inc (HCI)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for HCI?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their HCI positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for HCI?

More sellers than buyers — 49% buying: Last quarter: 138 funds reduced or exited vs 135 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for HCI holders?

Elite ownership — 40% AUM from top-100 funds: 45 of 272 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 40% of total institutional value in HCI. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held HCI?

52% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 141 out of 272 hedge funds have held HCI for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Hci Group Inc (HCI) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, HCI has moved +14.1% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +5.5% for the XLF sector ETF — an outperformance of +8.6%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), HCI has gained +15.4% vs +9.2% for XLF. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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