Based on 35 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their HGBL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🔻
Below peak — only 64% of 3.0Y high
64% of all-time peak
Only 35 funds hold HGBL today versus a peak of 55 funds at 2023 Q3 — just 64% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
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Outflows — 17% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
7 fewer hedge funds hold HGBL compared to a year ago (-17% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 33% buying
11 buying22 selling
Last quarter: 22 funds sold vs only 11 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~5 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 5 → 4 → 7 → 5. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒
51% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 51% conviction (2yr+)
■ 29% medium
■ 20% new
18 out of 35 hedge funds have held HGBL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~5 new funds/quarter
11 → 5 → 4 → 7 → 5 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 5 → 4 → 7 → 5. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 60% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 60% veterans
■ 14% 1-2yr
■ 26% new
Of 35 current holders: 21 (60%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
📋
Smaller funds dominant — 8% AUM from top-100
8% from top-100 AUM funds
11 of 35 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 8% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
Exit risk score 2.6/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.