Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc (IVR)

173 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in IVR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +2
Streak
3Q ▲
Buyers last Q
59%

Smart Money Signals — IVR

Based on 175 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added IVR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
175 hedge funds hold IVR right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +21% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+30 new funds entered over the past year (+21% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 59% buying

105 buying72 selling
Last quarter: 105 funds bought or added vs 72 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-11 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 26 → 30 → 44 → 33. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years

61% conviction (2yr+) 19% medium 19% new
107 out of 175 hedge funds have held IVR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

24 → 26 → 30 → 44 → 33 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 26 → 30 → 44 → 33. A growing number of institutions are discovering IVR each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 71% veterans vs 19% newcomers

71% veterans 10% 1-2yr 19% new
Entry-cohort mix of 182 holders: 129 (71%) are 2+ year veterans, 18 entered 1–2 years ago, and 35 (19%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.

Strong quality — 33% AUM from major funds

33% from top-100 AUM funds
37 of 172 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 33% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
3.8
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — IVR

In 2026 Q1, 105 hedge funds were net buyers of IVR (33 opened a new position, 72 added to an existing one), while 72 reduced or exited (41 trimmed, 31 sold completely) — a 59% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 3 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 33% of total institutional value in IVR is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +2 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 175.

Hedge Fund Ownership: IVR

How many hedge funds hold IVR — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of IVR vs. share price

Market Analysis: IVR

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: IVR

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc (IVR) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much IVR has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLRE) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 10d ago
IVR
+0.9%
XLRE
+0.5%

IVR outperformed XLRE by +0.4% since June 30, 2026.

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

17 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
5.5
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.3
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: IVR
2026 Q2 Stats Unlock in 40 days 173 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in IVR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 173 173 -
13F Shares 36M 32M 11.77%
Total Value $283M $273M 3.82%
New Positions 31 44 -13
Increased Positions 71 57 +14
Closed Positions 31 27 +4
Reduced Positions 39 45 -6
Total Calls 5 5 -
Total Puts 5 3 66.67%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 0.6 Neutral

Statistics: IVR

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

173 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in IVR. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 7 IVR holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Pvg Asset Management Corp 0.61% 133,630 $1.1M
2 SeaCrest Wealth Management, LLC 0.04% 46,009 $363K
3 180 Wealth Advisors, LLC 0.02% 24,597 $194K
4 Dynamic Advisor Solutions LLC 0.01% 50,165 $396K
5 Versant Capital Management, Inc 0.00% 792 $6K
6 GAMMA Investing LLC 0.00% 1,218 $10K
7 Ares Financial Consulting, LLC 0.00% 15
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc (IVR)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for IVR?

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added IVR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for IVR?

Slight buying edge — 59% buying: Last quarter: 105 funds bought or added vs 72 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for IVR holders?

Strong quality — 33% AUM from major funds: 37 of 172 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 33% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held IVR?

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 107 out of 175 hedge funds have held IVR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc (IVR) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), IVR has gained +0.9% vs +0.5% for XLRE. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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