Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

JEFFERSON CAPITAL INC COM (JCAP)

86 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in JCAP. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +18
Streak
3Q ▲
Buyers last Q
47%

Smart Money Signals — JCAP

Based on 89 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added JCAP than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
📊

High ownership — 89% of 3.0Y peak

89% of all-time peak
89 funds currently hold this stock — 89% of the 3.0-year high of 100 funds (reached 2019 Q2). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +8800% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+88 new funds entered over the past year (+8800% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 47% buying

40 buying46 selling
Last quarter: 46 funds reduced or exited vs 40 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-13 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 1 → 53 → 38 → 25. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
📌

Mixed — 36% long-term, 46% new

36% conviction (2yr+) 18% medium 46% new
Of the 89 current holders: 32 (36%) held >2 years, 16 held 1–2 years, and 41 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+26% value, -2% shares)

Value
+26%
Shares
-2%
Last quarter: total value of institutional JCAP holdings rose +26% even though funds reduced share count by 2%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

0 → 1 → 53 → 38 → 25 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 1 → 53 → 38 → 25. A growing number of institutions are discovering JCAP each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 60% of holders stayed 2+ years

60% veterans 0% 1-2yr 40% new
Of 89 current holders: 53 (60%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 49% AUM from top-100 funds

49% from top-100 AUM funds
34 of 89 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 49% of total institutional value in JCAP. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
5.8
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 5.8/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — JCAP

In 2025 Q4, 40 hedge funds were net buyers of JCAP (25 opened a new position, 15 added to an existing one), while 46 reduced or exited (39 trimmed, 7 sold completely) — a 47% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. This marks 3 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 49% of total institutional value in JCAP is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +18 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 89.

Hedge Fund Ownership: JCAP

How many hedge funds hold JCAP — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of JCAP vs. share price

Market Analysis: JCAP

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: JCAP

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

23 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
6.0
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.3
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: JCAP
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 4 days 86 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in JCAP. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 86 69 24.64%
13F Shares 12M 12M -2.43%
Total Value $267M $211M 26.45%
New Positions 24 36 -12
Increased Positions 15 19 -4
Closed Positions 7 19 -12
Reduced Positions 39 10 +29
Total Calls 0 0 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: JCAP

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

86 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in JCAP. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 institutional holders of JCAP — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 EJF Capital LP 2.32% 171,092 $3.3M
2 PMC FIG Opportunities LLC 1.47% 49,771 $957K
3 MALTESE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 1.25% 329,700 $6.3M
4 PUNCH & ASSOCIATES INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, INC. 1.24% 1,115,885 $21.5M
5 Nantahala Capital Management, LLC 0.53% 750,000 $14.4M
6 North Reef Capital Management LP 0.35% 532,151 $10.2M
7 VARCOV Co. 0.27% 37,653 $724K
8 HARBOR CAPITAL ADVISORS, INC. 0.18% 114,475 $2K
9 Persistent Asset Partners Ltd 0.13% 17,775 $342K
10 EPIQ PARTNERS, LLC 0.12% 13,333 $256K
11 Pacific Ridge Capital Partners, LLC 0.12% 28,754 $553K
12 WILLIAM BLAIR INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC 0.10% 1,559,949 $30.0M
13 SEVEN GRAND MANAGERS, LLC 0.09% 70,000 $1.3M
14 Voleon Capital Management LP 0.06% 146,127 $2.8M
15 ADAGE CAPITAL PARTNERS GP, L.L.C. 0.05% 1,762,799 $33.9M
16 Counterpoint Mutual Funds LLC 0.05% 15,801 $304K
17 Brevan Howard Capital Management LP 0.03% 190,000 $3.7M
18 BOOTHBAY FUND MANAGEMENT, LLC 0.03% 122,672 $2.4M
19 EverSource Wealth Advisors, LLC 0.03% 3,610 $923K
20 Ghisallo Capital Management LLC 0.03% 50,000 $962K
21 Covalis Capital LLP 0.02% 15,000 $288K
22 STATE OF WISCONSIN INVESTMENT BOARD 0.02% 374,375 $7.2M
23 PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC 0.02% 1,537,054 $29.6M
24 Alyeska Investment Group, L.P. 0.01% 247,072 $4.8M
25 WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP 0.01% 3,270,966 $62.9M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — JEFFERSON CAPITAL INC COM (JCAP)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for JCAP?

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added JCAP than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for JCAP?

More sellers than buyers — 47% buying: Last quarter: 46 funds reduced or exited vs 40 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for JCAP holders?

Elite ownership — 49% AUM from top-100 funds: 34 of 89 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 49% of total institutional value in JCAP. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held JCAP?

Mixed — 36% long-term, 46% new: Of the 89 current holders: 32 (36%) held >2 years, 16 held 1–2 years, and 41 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.