Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

St Joe Co (JOE)

314 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in JOE. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +20
Streak
3Q ▲
Buyers last Q
56%

Smart Money Signals — JOE

Based on 317 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added JOE than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
317 hedge funds hold JOE right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +16% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+43 new funds entered over the past year (+16% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 56% buying

161 buying126 selling
Last quarter: 161 funds bought or added vs 126 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-16 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 30 → 36 → 61 → 45. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

57% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 57% conviction (2yr+) ■ 25% medium ■ 19% new
180 out of 317 hedge funds have held JOE for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

53 → 30 → 36 → 61 → 45 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 30 → 36 → 61 → 45. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 64% veterans vs 25% newcomers

■ 64% veterans ■ 11% 1-2yr ■ 25% new
Entry-cohort mix of 324 holders: 208 (64%) are 2+ year veterans, 35 entered 1–2 years ago, and 81 (25%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
✅

Strong quality — 32% AUM from major funds

32% from top-100 AUM funds
51 of 317 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 32% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
3.7
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — JOE

In 2026 Q1, 161 hedge funds were net buyers of JOE (45 opened a new position, 116 added to an existing one), while 126 reduced or exited (101 trimmed, 25 sold completely) — a 56% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 3 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 32% of total institutional value in JOE is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +20 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 317.

Hedge Fund Ownership: JOE

How many hedge funds hold JOE — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of JOE vs. share price

Market Analysis: JOE

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: JOE

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy St Joe Co (JOE) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much JOE has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLRE) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 47d ago
JOE
+9.2%
XLRE
+2.8%

JOE outperformed XLRE by +6.4% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 2d ago
JOE
+0.0%
XLRE
+0.0%

Since the filing became public, JOE outperformed XLRE by +0.0% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

27 top-rated funds 5 high-conviction
Consensus
6.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
4.4
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: JOE
2026 Q2 Stats Unlock in 3 days 314 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in JOE. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 314 297 5.72%
13F Shares 50M 50M -0.24%
Total Value $3.09B $2.97B 3.98%
New Positions 43 61 -18
Increased Positions 114 98 +16
Closed Positions 26 35 -9
Reduced Positions 97 91 +6
Total Calls 4 4 -
Total Puts 3 2 50.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.75 0.5 Neutral

Statistics: JOE

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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

314 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in JOE. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
2026 Q2 filings are still coming in. Only funds that have filed so far are shown — top holders may not have reported yet. Full 13F data typically settles by ~50 days after quarter-end.
Top 25 JOE holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Fairholme Capital Management LLC 76.43% 18,182,367 $1.14B
2 Nitor Capital Management LLC 22.26% 526,496 $33.0M
3 Praetorian PR LLC 13.47% 675,000 $42.3M
4 Diversified Investment Strategies, LLC 10.54% 268,175 $16.3M
5 Accordant Advisory Group Inc 4.25% 100,676 $6.3M
6 Intrinsic Value Partners, LLC 3.90% 91,091 $5.7M
7 Gem Investment Advisors, LLC 3.12% 81,142 $5.1M
8 Front Street Capital Management, Inc. 1.93% 271,931 $17.0M
9 RMR Capital Management, LLC 1.85% 42,964 $2.7M
10 Dauntless Investment Group, LLC 1.78% 36,167 $2.3M
11 Mills Wealth Advisors LLC 1.73% 87,825 $5.5M
12 Punch & Associates Investment Management, INC. 1.17% 376,859 $23.6M
13 Adkins Seale Capital Management LLC 1.03% 17,556 $1.0M
14 Blackhawk Capital Partners, LLC 0.65% 31,534 $2.0M
15 Berkley W R Corp 0.63% 209,542 $13.1M
16 Cutter & CO Brokerage, Inc. 0.56% 50,673 $2.4M
17 Forest Hill Capital, LLC 0.55% 11,400 $714K
18 Pflug Koory, LLC 0.52% 20,694 $1.3M
19 Meixler Investment Management, Ltd. 0.47% 13,655 $855K
20 Schwartz Investment Counsel Inc 0.47% 224,400 $14.1M
21 Byrne Asset Management LLC 0.46% 13,527 $847K
22 Mraz, Amerine & Associates, Inc. 0.45% 49,827 $3.1M
23 Horizon Kinetics Asset Management LLC 0.42% 592,608 $37.1M
24 Select Equity Group, L.P. 0.42% 1,341,063 $84.0M
25 Journey Advisory Group, LLC 0.36% 76,034 $4.8M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — St Joe Co (JOE)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for JOE?

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added JOE than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for JOE?

Slight buying edge — 56% buying: Last quarter: 161 funds bought or added vs 126 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for JOE holders?

Strong quality — 32% AUM from major funds: 51 of 317 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 32% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held JOE?

57% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 180 out of 317 hedge funds have held JOE for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy St Joe Co (JOE) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, JOE has moved +0.0% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to +0.0% for the XLRE sector ETF — an outperformance of +0.0%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), JOE has gained +9.2% vs +2.8% for XLRE. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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