Based on 282 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
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Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added KALU than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
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At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
282 hedge funds hold KALU right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
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Fast accumulation — +38% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+77 new funds entered over the past year (+38% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
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Slight buying edge — 54% buying
154 buying131 selling
Last quarter: 154 funds bought or added vs 131 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
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Fewer new buyers each quarter (-23 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 34 → 37 → 78 → 55. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
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56% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 56% conviction (2yr+)
■ 18% medium
■ 27% new
157 out of 282 hedge funds have held KALU for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
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Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in
26 → 34 → 37 → 78 → 55 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 34 → 37 → 78 → 55. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
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Veteran-anchored — 63% veterans vs 27% newcomers
■ 63% veterans
■ 10% 1-2yr
■ 27% new
Entry-cohort mix of 288 holders: 181 (63%) are 2+ year veterans, 29 entered 1–2 years ago, and 78 (27%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
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Elite ownership — 41% AUM from top-100 funds
41% from top-100 AUM funds
53 of 281 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 41% of total institutional value in KALU. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.4
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.4/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.