Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

KAISER ALUMINIUM CORPORATION (KALU)

280 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in KALU. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +58
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
63%

Smart Money Signals — KALU

Based on 265 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added KALU than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
265 hedge funds hold KALU right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +32% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+64 new funds entered over the past year (+32% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 63% buying

163 buying95 selling
Last quarter: 163 funds were net buyers (78 opened a brand new position + 85 added to an existing one). Only 95 were sellers (75 trimmed + 20 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+41 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new KALU position: 26 → 34 → 37 → 78. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

57% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 57% conviction (2yr+) ■ 18% medium ■ 24% new
152 out of 265 hedge funds have held KALU for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Value +50% but shares only +2% — price-driven

Value
+49%
Shares
+2%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +50%, but actual share count only changed +2%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

31 → 26 → 34 → 37 → 78 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 26 → 34 → 37 → 78. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 66% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 66% veterans ■ 10% 1-2yr ■ 24% new
Of 270 current holders: 177 (66%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 52% AUM from top-100 funds

52% from top-100 AUM funds
54 of 265 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 52% of total institutional value in KALU. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.0
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.0/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — KALU

In 2025 Q4, 163 hedge funds were net buyers of KALU (78 opened a new position, 85 added to an existing one), while 95 reduced or exited (75 trimmed, 20 sold completely) — a 63% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. 52% of total institutional value in KALU is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +58 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 265.

Hedge Fund Ownership: KALU

How many hedge funds hold KALU — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of KALU vs. share price

Market Analysis: KALU

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: KALU

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy KAISER ALUMINIUM CORPORATION (KALU) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much KALU has moved relative to its sector benchmark (SPY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 50d ago
KALU
+40.4%
SPY
+42.5%

KALU outperformed SPY by -2.1% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 5d ago
KALU
-2.7%
SPY
-1.8%

Since the filing became public, KALU outperformed SPY by -0.9% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

25 top-rated funds 1 high-conviction
Consensus
6.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.0
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: KALU
280 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in KALU. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 280 265 5.66%
13F Shares 16M 16M 0.15%
Total Value $1.87B $1.83B 2.49%
New Positions 54 78 -24
Increased Positions 96 85 +11
Closed Positions 39 20 +19
Reduced Positions 92 73 +19
Total Calls 4 4 -
Total Puts 3 2 50.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.75 0.5 Neutral

Statistics: KALU

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

280 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in KALU. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 institutional holders of KALU — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 BRIGHTLINE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC 6.24% 175,000 $21.1M
2 Tributary Capital Management, LLC 2.06% 176,234 $21.2M
3 1492 Capital Management LLC 1.99% 43,461 $5.2M
4 WINSLOW ASSET MANAGEMENT INC 1.73% 74,003 $9K
5 ICON ADVISERS INC/CO 1.29% 46,482 $5.6M
6 SYSTEMATIC FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT LP 0.67% 242,995 $29.3M
7 VARCOV Co. 0.61% 13,546 $1.6M
8 THIRD AVENUE MANAGEMENT LLC 0.58% 29,881 $3.6M
9 NFJ INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC 0.56% 123,381 $14.9M
10 Covalis Capital LLP 0.52% 69,667 $8.4M
11 Oliver Luxxe Assets LLC 0.39% 21,537 $2.6M
12 Van Diest Capital, LLC 0.32% 3,372 $406K
13 BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC 0.32% 131,315 $15.8M
14 MIRABELLA FINANCIAL SERVICES LLP 0.29% 25,213 $3.0M
15 PDT Partners, LLC 0.23% 31,788 $3.8M
16 EntryPoint Capital, LLC 0.22% 6,272 $756K
17 Numerai GP LLC 0.21% 17,706 $2.1M
18 BARROW HANLEY MEWHINNEY & STRAUSS LLC 0.21% 530,671 $64.0M
19 VISTA INVESTMENT PARTNERS LLC 0.16% 5,105 $615K
20 ALGERT GLOBAL LLC 0.15% 83,748 $10K
21 NOMURA ASSET MANAGEMENT INTERNATIONAL INC. 0.15% 714,176 $86.1M
22 180 WEALTH ADVISORS, LLC 0.14% 10,131 $1.2M
23 NAVELLIER & ASSOCIATES INC 0.13% 10,443 $1.3M
24 Diametric Capital, LP 0.12% 3,725 $449K
25 Heritage Family Offices, LLP 0.10% 1,876 $226K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — KAISER ALUMINIUM CORPORATION (KALU)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for KALU?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added KALU than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for KALU?

More buyers than sellers — 63% buying: Last quarter: 163 funds were net buyers (78 opened a brand new position + 85 added to an existing one). Only 95 were sellers (75 trimmed + 20 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for KALU holders?

Elite ownership — 52% AUM from top-100 funds: 54 of 265 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 52% of total institutional value in KALU. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held KALU?

57% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 152 out of 265 hedge funds have held KALU for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy KAISER ALUMINIUM CORPORATION (KALU) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, KALU has moved -2.7% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to -1.8% for the SPY sector ETF — an outperformance of -0.9%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), KALU has gained +40.4% vs +42.5% for SPY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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