Based on 78 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
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Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added MGIC than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
78 hedge funds hold MGIC right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
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Steady growth — +7% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+5 new funds entered over the past year (+7% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
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More sellers than buyers — 47% buying
29 buying33 selling
Last quarter: 33 funds reduced or exited vs 29 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️
Fewer new buyers each quarter (-6 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 7 → 10 → 17 → 11. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
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58% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 58% conviction (2yr+)
■ 22% medium
■ 21% new
45 out of 78 hedge funds have held MGIC for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
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Price up while funds trimmed (+18% value, -4% shares)
Last quarter: total value of institutional MGIC holdings rose +18% even though funds reduced share count by 4%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
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Growing discovery — still being found
12 → 7 → 10 → 17 → 11 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 7 → 10 → 17 → 11. A growing number of institutions are discovering MGIC each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 63% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 63% veterans
■ 12% 1-2yr
■ 26% new
Of 78 current holders: 49 (63%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
✅
Strong quality — 33% AUM from major funds
33% from top-100 AUM funds
20 of 78 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 33% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
Exit risk score 3.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.