Based on 20 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
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Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added MSAIW than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
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Below peak — only 54% of 3.0Y high
54% of all-time peak
Only 20 funds hold MSAIW today versus a peak of 37 funds at 2023 Q4 — just 54% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
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Outflows — 26% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
7 fewer hedge funds hold MSAIW compared to a year ago (-26% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
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Heavy selling pressure — only 33% buying
2 buying4 selling
Last quarter: 4 funds sold vs only 2 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~2 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 2 → 1 → 0 → 2. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
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80% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 80% conviction (2yr+)
■ 5% medium
■ 15% new
16 out of 20 hedge funds have held MSAIW for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
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Peak discovery — momentum slowing
4 → 2 → 1 → 0 → 2 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 2 → 1 → 0 → 2. MSAIW is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
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Veteran-anchored — 80% veterans vs 20% newcomers
■ 80% veterans
■ 0% 1-2yr
■ 20% new
Entry-cohort mix of 20 holders: 16 (80%) are 2+ year veterans, 0 entered 1–2 years ago, and 4 (20%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
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Smaller funds dominant — 12% AUM from top-100
12% from top-100 AUM funds
3 of 19 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 12% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
Exit risk score 1.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.