Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Microsoft Corp (MSFT)

6K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in MSFT. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +70
Streak
1Q ▲
Buyers last Q
56%

Smart Money Signals — MSFT

Based on 6254 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added MSFT than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
6,254 hedge funds hold MSFT right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +9% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+529 new funds entered over the past year (+9% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 56% buying

3541 buying2786 selling
Last quarter: 3,541 funds bought or added vs 2,786 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~312 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 226 → 663 → 316 → 312. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

72% of holders stayed for 2+ years

72% conviction (2yr+) 15% medium 13% new
4,507 out of 6,254 hedge funds have held MSFT for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +79%, value +6%

Value
+6%
Shares
+79%
Last quarter: funds added +79% more shares while total portfolio value only changed +6%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

292 → 226 → 663 → 316 → 312 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 226 → 663 → 316 → 312. MSFT is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 72% veterans vs 15% newcomers

72% veterans 13% 1-2yr 15% new
Entry-cohort mix of 6,573 holders: 4,724 (72%) are 2+ year veterans, 852 entered 1–2 years ago, and 997 (15%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 63% AUM from top-100 funds

63% from top-100 AUM funds
76 of 6227 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 63% of total institutional value in MSFT. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.4
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.4/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — MSFT

In 2026 Q2, 3541 hedge funds were net buyers of MSFT (312 opened a new position, 3229 added to an existing one), while 2786 reduced or exited (2544 trimmed, 242 sold completely) — a 56% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. 63% of total institutional value in MSFT is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +70 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 6254.

What Fund Managers Are Saying About MSFT

▲ 4 bullish▼ 1 bearish
Daniel Ives · Yorkville Ives long 2026-08-12
Strong leadership and enterprise integration make Microsoft a standout player.
▶ Watch on YouTubevia Bloomberg Podcasts
Ed Zitron · Easy Primary Research avoid 2026-08-08
Revenue growth is overly dependent on a very narrow group of AI customers.
▶ Watch on YouTubevia Bloomberg Podcasts
Christopher Davis · Tekton Intelligence long 2026-07-30
Views Microsoft as a key player in the cloud infrastructure migration.
▶ Watch on YouTubevia William Green (Richer Wiser Happier)
Richard S. Pzena · Pzena Investment Management long 2026-07-27
Believe Microsoft is a durable franchise worth holding long term
▶ Watch on YouTubevia Behind the Balance Sheet
Nancy Tengler · Laugher Tangler Investments add 2026-06-26
Add Microsoft as a top‑12 idea, expecting AI‑driven Azure growth
▶ Watch on YouTubevia Bloomberg Podcasts
AI-generated paraphrases of public interviews · informational only, not investment advice · see all manager views

Hedge Fund Ownership: MSFT

How many hedge funds hold MSFT — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of MSFT vs. share price

Market Analysis: MSFT

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: MSFT

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Microsoft Corp (MSFT) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much MSFT has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLK) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 75d ago
MSFT
+32.9%
XLK
-1.5%

MSFT outperformed XLK by +34.4% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 30d ago
MSFT
+0.2%
XLK
-1.2%

Since the filing became public, MSFT outperformed XLK by +1.4% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Strong Institutional Conviction

Multiple high-quality funds hold meaningful positions with strong conviction.

143 top-rated funds 1018 high-conviction
Consensus
9.4
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
9.4
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: MSFT
6K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in MSFT. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 6167 6184 -0.27%
13F Shares 6.06B 5.60B 8.07%
Total Value $2.11T $2.00T 5.62%
New Positions 284 316 -32
Increased Positions 3154 3192 -38
Closed Positions 274 347 -73
Reduced Positions 2388 2348 +40
Total Calls 190 156 21.79%
Total Puts 149 123 21.14%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.78 0.79 Neutral

Statistics: MSFT

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
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Price/Book (mrq) --
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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

6K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in MSFT. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 MSFT holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Groupe des Assurances du Credit Mutuel 100.00% 21,560 $8.0M
2 Soroban Capital Partners LP 46.82% 60,000,000 $22.38B
3 DDD Partners, LLC 26.44% 1,136,862 $424.1M
4 Elite Wealth Management, Inc. 24.91% 225,389 $84.1M
5 Joho Capital LLC 23.25% 287,000 $107.1M
6 Armstrong Henry H Associates Inc 22.48% 622,401 $232.2M
7 Bellevue Asset Management, LLC 22.39% 130,090 $48.5M
8 Finepoint Capital LP 21.16% 1,587,400 $592.1M
9 Palidye Holdings (Caymans) Ltd 20.60% 308,485 $115.1M
10 Altarock Partners LP 20.54% 2,334,482 $870.8M
11 Lakeside Advisors, INC. 19.64% 83,634 $31.2M
12 Bluefin Capital Management, LLC 18.74% 200,537 $74.8M
13 Meritage Group LP 18.38% 1,278,653 $477.0M
14 TenCore Partners, LP 18.12% 62,376 $23.3M
15 Voyager Global Management LP 17.46% 1,700,000 $634.1M
16 Cat Rock Capital Management LP 17.36% 200,603 $74.8M
17 C Partners Holding GmbH 16.87% 149,202 $55.7M
18 Bradyco, Inc. 16.48% 38,531 $14.4M
19 Ursa Fund Management, LLC 16.04% 550,000 $205.2M
20 Ursa Fund Management, LLC 16.04% 550,000 $205.2M
21 Cincinnati Casualty Co 15.83% 80,000 $29.8M
22 Perry Creek Capital LP 15.80% 92,500 $34.5M
23 Rings Capital Management LLC 15.75% 83,000 $31.0M
24 Fortis Capital Management LLC 15.56% 372,894 $139.1M
25 Farley Capital L.P. 15.39% 52,566 $19.6M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Microsoft Corp (MSFT)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for MSFT?

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added MSFT than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for MSFT?

Slight buying edge — 56% buying: Last quarter: 3,541 funds bought or added vs 2,786 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for MSFT holders?

Elite ownership — 63% AUM from top-100 funds: 76 of 6227 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 63% of total institutional value in MSFT. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held MSFT?

72% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 4,507 out of 6,254 hedge funds have held MSFT for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Microsoft Corp (MSFT) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, MSFT has moved +0.2% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to -1.2% for the XLK sector ETF — an outperformance of +1.4%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), MSFT has gained +32.9% vs -1.5% for XLK. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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