Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Murphy Oil Corp (MUR)

426 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in MUR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -19
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
48%

Smart Money Signals — MUR

Based on 429 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their MUR positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (96% of max)

96% of all-time peak
429 hedge funds hold MUR right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +13% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+49 new funds entered over the past year (+13% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 48% buying

209 buying224 selling
Last quarter: 224 funds reduced or exited vs 209 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-27 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 57 → 62 → 85 → 58. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

66% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 66% conviction (2yr+) ■ 17% medium ■ 17% new
285 out of 429 hedge funds have held MUR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -1%, value -21%

Value
-21%
Shares
0%
Last quarter: funds added -1% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -21%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

47 → 57 → 62 → 85 → 58 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 57 → 62 → 85 → 58. A growing number of institutions are discovering MUR each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 71% veterans vs 20% newcomers

■ 71% veterans ■ 10% 1-2yr ■ 20% new
Entry-cohort mix of 440 holders: 311 (71%) are 2+ year veterans, 42 entered 1–2 years ago, and 87 (20%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 66% AUM from top-100 funds

66% from top-100 AUM funds
58 of 426 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 66% of total institutional value in MUR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.6
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.6/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — MUR

In 2026 Q2, 209 hedge funds were net buyers of MUR (58 opened a new position, 151 added to an existing one), while 224 reduced or exited (147 trimmed, 77 sold completely) — a 48% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 66% of total institutional value in MUR is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -19 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 429.

Hedge Fund Ownership: MUR

How many hedge funds hold MUR — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of MUR vs. share price

Market Analysis: MUR

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: MUR

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

13 top-rated funds 3 high-conviction
Consensus
5.0
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.5
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: MUR
426 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in MUR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 426 448 -4.91%
13F Shares 127M 128M -0.59%
Total Value $4.07B $5.16B -21.08%
New Positions 58 85 -27
Increased Positions 145 142 +3
Closed Positions 77 46 +31
Reduced Positions 146 146 -
Total Calls 7 13 -46.15%
Total Puts 6 9 -33.33%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.86 0.69 Neutral

Statistics: MUR

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

426 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in MUR. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 MUR holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Flax Pond Capital, LLC 6.10% 187,256 $7.7M
2 SailingStone Capital Partners LLC 2.97% 486,854 $15.9M
3 Barnett & Company, Inc. 2.66% 110,375 $3.6M
4 Encompass Capital Advisors LLC 2.61% 2,250,000 $73.3M
5 Security National Bank 0.77% 198,384 $6.5M
6 Grace & White Inc /Ny 0.71% 138,102 $4.5M
7 Pacific Heights Asset Management LLC 0.62% 600,000 $19.5M
8 SummerHaven Investment Management, LLC 0.52% 29,854 $972K
9 Phocas Financial Corp. 0.46% 101,370 $3.3M
10 Resolute Wealth Strategies, LLC 0.38% 30,394 $990K
11 Aristotle Atlantic Partners, LLC 0.35% 259,455 $8.4M
12 Earnest Partners LLC 0.34% 2,876,215 $93.6M
13 Lighthouse Investment Partners, LLC 0.33% 374,000 $12.2M
14 Mustard Seed Financial, LLC 0.32% 18,884 $615K
15 Segall Bryant & Hamill, LLC 0.29% 756,510 $24.6M
16 Ceredex Value Advisors LLC 0.29% 311,675 $10.1M
17 Aventail Capital Group, LP 0.28% 150,905 $4.9M
18 Huntington National Bank 0.27% 1,735,078 $56.5M
19 Lighthouse Investment Partners, LLC 0.27% 300,305 $9.8M
20 Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management LLC 0.26% 2,738,389 $89.2M
21 Tocqueville Asset Management L.P. 0.25% 571,928 $18.6M
22 Wedge Capital Management L L P/Nc 0.21% 400,193 $13.0M
23 Millennium Capital Advisors, LLC 0.19% 10,489 $342K
24 Susquehanna Portfolio Strategies, LLC 0.18% 354,011 $11.5M
25 Evergreen Wealth Partners LLC 0.18% 9,260 $302K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Murphy Oil Corp (MUR)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for MUR?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their MUR positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for MUR?

More sellers than buyers — 48% buying: Last quarter: 224 funds reduced or exited vs 209 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for MUR holders?

Elite ownership — 66% AUM from top-100 funds: 58 of 426 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 66% of total institutional value in MUR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held MUR?

66% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 285 out of 429 hedge funds have held MUR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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