Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Graniteshares ETF Tr (NBIL)

12 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in NBIL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +1
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
47%

Smart Money Signals — NBIL

Based on 12 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 2Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NBIL than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
12 hedge funds hold NBIL right now — the highest count in 0.8 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 47% buying

8 buying9 selling
Last quarter: 9 funds reduced or exited vs 8 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~6 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 9 → 6. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 100% entered in last year

0% conviction (2yr+) 0% medium 100% new
Only 0 funds (0%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+191% value, -45% shares)

Value
+190%
Shares
-44%
Last quarter: total value of institutional NBIL holdings rose +191% even though funds reduced share count by 45%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
🌱

Early stage — 100% of holders entered in last year

0% veterans 0% 1-2yr 100% new
Of 12 current holders: 12 (100%) entered in the past year, only 0 (0%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 2% AUM from top-100

2% from top-100 AUM funds
2 of 12 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 2% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
5.7
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 5.7/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — NBIL

In 2026 Q2, 8 hedge funds were net buyers of NBIL (6 opened a new position, 2 added to an existing one), while 9 reduced or exited (4 trimmed, 5 sold completely) — a 47% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. Net fund flow last quarter: +1 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 12.

Hedge Fund Ownership: NBIL

How many hedge funds hold NBIL — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of NBIL vs. share price

Market Analysis: NBIL

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: NBIL

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

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Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

1 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
1.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.4
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: NBIL
12 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in NBIL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 12 11 9.09%
13F Shares 234K 424K -44.83%
Total Value $13M $4M 190.74%
New Positions 6 9 -3
Increased Positions 2 2 -
Closed Positions 5 3 +2
Reduced Positions 4 0 +4
Total Calls 0 0 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: NBIL

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

12 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in NBIL. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 11 NBIL holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Capstone Capital Management Ltd 1.25% 48,968 $2.8M
2 Dudley Capital Management, LLC 0.27% 11,700 $669K
3 Essex LLC 0.18% 21,050 $1.2M
4 Gts Securities LLC 0.04% 31,752 $1.8M
5 SBI Securities Co., Ltd. 0.03% 20,741 $1.2M
6 Renaissance Technologies LLC 0.00% 19,100 $1.1M
7 Optiver Holding B.V. 0.00% 38,576 $2.2M
8 Susquehanna International Group, LLP 0.00% 26,564 $1.5M
9 Tower Research Capital LLC (TRC) 0.00% 67 $4K
10 Bank of Montreal /Can/ 0.00% 3,000 $171K
11 UBS Group AG 0.00% 2,051 $117K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Graniteshares ETF Tr (NBIL)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for NBIL?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NBIL than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for NBIL?

More sellers than buyers — 47% buying: Last quarter: 9 funds reduced or exited vs 8 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for NBIL holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 2% AUM from top-100: 2 of 12 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 2% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held NBIL?

Mostly new holders — 100% entered in last year: Only 0 funds (0%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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