Based on 651 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
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Buying streak — 8 quarters in a row
For 8 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NFG than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
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At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
651 hedge funds hold NFG right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
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Steady growth — +14% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+81 new funds entered over the past year (+14% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
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Slight buying edge — 56% buying
341 buying265 selling
Last quarter: 341 funds bought or added vs 265 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
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More new buyers each quarter (+9 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new NFG position: 72 → 88 → 92 → 101. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
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57% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 57% conviction (2yr+)
■ 24% medium
■ 19% new
370 out of 651 hedge funds have held NFG for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
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Growing discovery — still being found
138 → 72 → 88 → 92 → 101 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 72 → 88 → 92 → 101. A growing number of institutions are discovering NFG each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
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Veteran-anchored — 65% veterans vs 27% newcomers
■ 65% veterans
■ 8% 1-2yr
■ 27% new
Entry-cohort mix of 656 holders: 426 (65%) are 2+ year veterans, 50 entered 1–2 years ago, and 180 (27%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
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Strong quality — 32% AUM from major funds
32% from top-100 AUM funds
52 of 650 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 32% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
Exit risk score 3.6/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.