Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

NOMURA HLDGS INC (NMR)

250 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in NMR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +36
Streak
3Q ▲
Buyers last Q
69%

Smart Money Signals — NMR

Based on 255 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NMR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
255 hedge funds hold NMR right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +24% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+50 new funds entered over the past year (+24% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 69% buying

174 buying77 selling
Last quarter: 174 funds were net buyers (57 opened a brand new position + 117 added to an existing one). Only 77 were sellers (56 trimmed + 21 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+21 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new NMR position: 27 → 38 → 36 → 57. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

51% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 51% conviction (2yr+) ■ 24% medium ■ 25% new
129 out of 255 hedge funds have held NMR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Value +29% but shares only +9% — price-driven

Value
+29%
Shares
+9%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +29%, but actual share count only changed +9%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

36 → 27 → 38 → 36 → 57 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 27 → 38 → 36 → 57. A growing number of institutions are discovering NMR each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 54% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 54% veterans ■ 15% 1-2yr ■ 31% new
Of 259 current holders: 140 (54%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 55% AUM from top-100 funds

55% from top-100 AUM funds
37 of 255 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 55% of total institutional value in NMR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.0
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.0/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — NMR

In 2025 Q4, 174 hedge funds were net buyers of NMR (57 opened a new position, 117 added to an existing one), while 77 reduced or exited (56 trimmed, 21 sold completely) — a 69% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. This marks 3 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 55% of total institutional value in NMR is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +36 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 255.

Hedge Fund Ownership: NMR

How many hedge funds hold NMR — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of NMR vs. share price

Market Analysis: NMR

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: NMR

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

23 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
6.0
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.7
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: NMR
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 2 days 250 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in NMR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 250 212 17.92%
13F Shares 76M 70M 8.89%
Total Value $641M $510M 25.69%
New Positions 58 36 +22
Increased Positions 116 106 +10
Closed Positions 21 20 +1
Reduced Positions 54 40 +14
Total Calls 3 1 200.0%
Total Puts 1 1 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.33 1.0 Bullish

Statistics: NMR

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

250 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in NMR. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 institutional holders of NMR — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 DONALD SMITH & CO., INC. 1.87% 13,169,493 $103.9M
2 Integrated Quantitative Investments LLC 0.71% 495,744 $3.9M
3 Carrera Capital Advisors 0.70% 575,559 $4.5M
4 DMC Group, LLC 0.27% 49,750 $393K
5 Gallacher Capital Management LLC 0.20% 67,303 $531K
6 Lester Murray Antman dba SimplyRich 0.18% 88,146 —
7 EntryPoint Capital, LLC 0.17% 75,173 $593K
8 MARIETTA INVESTMENT PARTNERS LLC 0.17% 108,752 $858K
9 Ethic Inc. 0.14% 1,123,117 $8.9M
10 Ellevest, Inc. 0.10% 95,502 $754K
11 Brown Financial Advisors 0.09% 31,701 $250K
12 BSW Wealth Partners 0.09% 94,474 $745K
13 First Affirmative Financial Network 0.08% 23,086 $168K
14 Gradient Investments LLC 0.07% 594,862 $4.7M
15 Paladin Wealth, LLC 0.07% 12,629 $100K
16 Scientech Research LLC 0.07% 10,160 $80K
17 MQS Management LLC 0.07% 12,272 $97K
18 Mattson Financial Services, LLC 0.06% 33,750 $266K
19 Successful Portfolios LLC 0.06% 15,000 $114K
20 Cromwell Holdings LLC 0.06% 12,467 $98K
21 Optas, LLC 0.05% 46,039 $363K
22 Abacus Wealth Partners, LLC 0.05% 74,105 $585K
23 Canopy Partners, LLC 0.05% 19,244 $152K
24 Versant Capital Management, Inc 0.05% 62,882 $496K
25 West Family Investments, Inc. 0.05% 17,034 $134K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — NOMURA HLDGS INC (NMR)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for NMR?

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NMR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for NMR?

More buyers than sellers — 69% buying: Last quarter: 174 funds were net buyers (57 opened a brand new position + 117 added to an existing one). Only 77 were sellers (56 trimmed + 21 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for NMR holders?

Elite ownership — 55% AUM from top-100 funds: 37 of 255 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 55% of total institutional value in NMR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held NMR?

51% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 129 out of 255 hedge funds have held NMR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.