Based on 32 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their NMTC positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊
High ownership — 86% of 3.0Y peak
86% of all-time peak
32 funds currently hold this stock — 86% of the 3.0-year high of 37 funds (reached 2025 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +78% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+14 new funds entered over the past year (+78% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 36% buying
12 buying21 selling
Last quarter: 21 funds sold vs only 12 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~7 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 14 → 9 → 8 → 7. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
📌
Mixed — 31% long-term, 44% new
■ 31% conviction (2yr+)
■ 25% medium
■ 44% new
Of the 32 current holders: 10 (31%) held >2 years, 8 held 1–2 years, and 14 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
📊
Peak discovery — momentum slowing
4 → 14 → 9 → 8 → 7 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 14 → 9 → 8 → 7. NMTC is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️
Veteran-anchored — 41% veterans vs 50% newcomers
■ 41% veterans
■ 9% 1-2yr
■ 50% new
Entry-cohort mix of 32 holders: 13 (41%) are 2+ year veterans, 3 entered 1–2 years ago, and 16 (50%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
📋
Smaller funds dominant — 7% AUM from top-100
7% from top-100 AUM funds
9 of 31 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 7% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
4.6
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.6/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.