Based on 25 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their NTDOY positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊
High ownership — 74% of 3.0Y peak
74% of all-time peak
25 funds currently hold this stock — 74% of the 3.0-year high of 34 funds (reached 2025 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📶
Steady growth — +9% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+2 new funds entered over the past year (+9% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 41% buying
13 buying19 selling
Last quarter: 19 funds reduced or exited vs 13 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️
Fewer new buyers each quarter (-6 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 3 → 6 → 10 → 4. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒
44% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 44% conviction (2yr+)
■ 28% medium
■ 28% new
11 out of 25 hedge funds have held NTDOY for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares -6%, value -29%
Last quarter: funds added -6% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -29%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~4 new funds/quarter
4 → 3 → 6 → 10 → 4 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 3 → 6 → 10 → 4. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 44% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 44% veterans
■ 12% 1-2yr
■ 44% new
Of 25 current holders: 11 (44%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
📋
Smaller funds dominant — 6% AUM from top-100
6% from top-100 AUM funds
2 of 25 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 6% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
Exit risk score 3.2/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.