Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Nuvalent Inc (NUVL)

258 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in NUVL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +23
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
62%

Smart Money Signals — NUVL

Based on 260 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NUVL than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
260 hedge funds hold NUVL right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +26% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+54 new funds entered over the past year (+26% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 62% buying

165 buying100 selling
Last quarter: 165 funds were net buyers (55 opened a brand new position + 110 added to an existing one). Only 100 were sellers (68 trimmed + 32 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-6 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 29 → 25 → 61 → 55. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

40% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 40% conviction (2yr+) ■ 29% medium ■ 31% new
104 out of 260 hedge funds have held NUVL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

27 → 29 → 25 → 61 → 55 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 29 → 25 → 61 → 55. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 48% veterans vs 34% newcomers

■ 48% veterans ■ 18% 1-2yr ■ 34% new
Entry-cohort mix of 266 holders: 127 (48%) are 2+ year veterans, 48 entered 1–2 years ago, and 91 (34%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
✅

Strong quality — 37% AUM from major funds

37% from top-100 AUM funds
53 of 260 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 37% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.2
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.2/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — NUVL

In 2026 Q1, 165 hedge funds were net buyers of NUVL (55 opened a new position, 110 added to an existing one), while 100 reduced or exited (68 trimmed, 32 sold completely) — a 62% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. 37% of total institutional value in NUVL is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +23 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 260.

Hedge Fund Ownership: NUVL

How many hedge funds hold NUVL — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of NUVL vs. share price

Market Analysis: NUVL

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: NUVL

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

26 top-rated funds 5 high-conviction
Consensus
6.2
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
4.3
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: NUVL
2026 Q2 Stats Unlock in 2 days 258 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in NUVL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 258 236 9.32%
13F Shares 78M 79M -1.08%
Total Value $7.62B $7.73B -1.38%
New Positions 53 61 -8
Increased Positions 109 97 +12
Closed Positions 31 19 +12
Reduced Positions 66 48 +18
Total Calls 3 3 -
Total Puts 3 1 200.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 0.33 Neutral

Statistics: NUVL

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

258 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in NUVL. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
2026 Q2 filings are still coming in. Only funds that have filed so far are shown — top holders may not have reported yet. Full 13F data typically settles by ~50 days after quarter-end.
Top 25 NUVL holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Deerfield Management Company, L.P. 22.22% 17,248,450 $2.13B
2 Paradigm Biocapital Advisors LP 13.70% 5,924,433 $731.7M
3 Chicago Capital Management, LLC 9.84% 115,500 $11.1M
4 Versor Investments LP 6.72% 25,850 $3.2M
5 Slotnik Capital, LLC 6.70% 210,000 $25.9M
6 Transmarket Holdings LP 6.32% 69,760 $8.6M
7 First Trust Capital Management L.P. 6.02% 836,918 $103.4M
8 Nexpoint Asset Management, L.P. 5.10% 617,820 $76.3M
9 Harvest Management LLC 3.40% 70,000 $8.6M
10 Deep Track Capital, LP 3.21% 1,783,322 $220.2M
11 Perceptive Advisors LLC 2.93% 1,580,505 $195.2M
12 Bellevue Group AG 2.74% 1,053,268 $130.1M
13 Gardner Lewis Asset Management L P 2.63% 95,495 $11.8M
14 Jones Hill Capital LP 2.58% 98,442 $12.2M
15 Kryger Capital LLC 2.02% 286,712 $35.4M
16 Sagefield Capital LP 1.80% 196,481 $24.3M
17 Harvest Management LLC 1.75% 36,000 $4.4M
18 Affinity Asset Advisors, LLC 1.54% 275,000 $34.0M
19 Ra Capital Management, L.P. 1.34% 1,246,456 $153.9M
20 GABELLI & Co INVESTMENT ADVISERS, INC. 1.33% 74,244 $9.2M
21 Oddo Bhf Asset Management Sas 1.30% 227,386 $28.1M
22 Water Island Capital LLC 1.19% 103,979 $12.8M
23 Cinctive Capital Management LP 1.09% 240,806 $29.7M
24 AQR Arbitrage LLC 1.06% 601,633 $74.3M
25 Alpine Associates Management INC. 1.00% 129,300 $16.0M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Nuvalent Inc (NUVL)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for NUVL?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NUVL than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for NUVL?

More buyers than sellers — 62% buying: Last quarter: 165 funds were net buyers (55 opened a brand new position + 110 added to an existing one). Only 100 were sellers (68 trimmed + 32 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for NUVL holders?

Strong quality — 37% AUM from major funds: 53 of 260 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 37% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held NUVL?

40% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 104 out of 260 hedge funds have held NUVL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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