Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD COM (OBE)

91 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in OBE. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
→ 0
Streak
1Q —
Buyers last Q
44%

Smart Money Signals — OBE

Based on 85 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

➡️

No change last quarter

last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding this stock didn't change last quarter. Neither a buying nor selling signal on its own — watch the next quarter for direction.
📊

High ownership — 85% of 3.0Y peak

85% of all-time peak
85 funds currently hold this stock — 85% of the 3.0-year high of 100 funds (reached 2024 Q3). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 14% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
14 fewer hedge funds hold OBE compared to a year ago (-14% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 44% buying

35 buying44 selling
Last quarter: 44 funds reduced or exited vs 35 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~13 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 12 → 8 → 9 → 13. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

64% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 64% conviction (2yr+) ■ 25% medium ■ 12% new
54 out of 85 hedge funds have held OBE for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~13 new funds/quarter

18 → 12 → 8 → 9 → 13 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 12 → 8 → 9 → 13. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 68% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 68% veterans ■ 18% 1-2yr ■ 14% new
Of 91 current holders: 62 (68%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 60% AUM from top-100 funds

60% from top-100 AUM funds
14 of 85 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 60% of total institutional value in OBE. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
2.8
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — OBE

In 2025 Q4, 35 hedge funds were net buyers of OBE (13 opened a new position, 22 added to an existing one), while 44 reduced or exited (31 trimmed, 13 sold completely) — a 44% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 60% of total institutional value in OBE is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: flat (entries and exits balanced). Total institutional holders: 85.

Hedge Fund Ownership: OBE

How many hedge funds hold OBE — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of OBE vs. share price

Market Analysis: OBE

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: OBE

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

10 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
4.5
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.3
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: OBE
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 2 days 91 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in OBE. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 91 89 2.25%
13F Shares 15M 14M 12.97%
Total Value $95M $89M 6.13%
New Positions 13 9 +4
Increased Positions 26 36 -10
Closed Positions 14 9 +5
Reduced Positions 34 25 +9
Total Calls 4 3 33.33%
Total Puts 3 2 50.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.75 0.67 Neutral

Statistics: OBE

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Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

91 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in OBE. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 institutional holders of OBE — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Spark Investment Management LLC 2.47% 108,000 $1.0M
2 Pembroke Management, LTD 0.88% 639,417 $6.1M
3 Kerrisdale Advisers, LLC 0.30% 84,060 $796K
4 Quad-Cities Investment Group, LLC 0.12% 30,913 $293K
5 GMT CAPITAL CORP 0.08% 180,008 $1.7M
6 Register Financial Advisors LLC 0.08% 22,200 $210K
7 WealthTrust Axiom LLC 0.05% 22,557 $214K
8 Essex LLC 0.04% 22,882 $217K
9 Quadrature Capital Ltd 0.03% 300,522 $2.8M
10 AIGEN INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LP 0.03% 11,621 $126K
11 Quantbot Technologies LP 0.03% 71,357 $676K
12 Connor, Clark & Lunn Investment Management Ltd. 0.02% 945,152 $9.0M
13 DGS Capital Management, LLC 0.02% 11,994 $114K
14 ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP 0.02% 2,996,167 $28.5M
15 TWO SIGMA SECURITIES, LLC 0.01% 12,439 $118K
16 TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP 0.01% 1,607,195 $15.2M
17 ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC 0.01% 845,305 $8K
18 State of Wyoming 0.01% 8,915 $84K
19 Graham Capital Management, L.P. 0.01% 40,785 $386K
20 Marks Group Wealth Management, Inc 0.01% 10,000 $95K
21 Stratos Wealth Partners, LTD. 0.01% 80,346 $761K
22 ROYAL BANK OF CANADA 0.01% 4,444,397 $42.1M
23 SIG North Trading, ULC 0.01% 36,648 $347K
24 D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. 0.01% 1,005,800 $9.6M
25 AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC 0.01% 1,158,131 $11.0M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD COM (OBE)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for OBE?

No change last quarter: The number of hedge funds holding this stock didn't change last quarter. Neither a buying nor selling signal on its own — watch the next quarter for direction.

What is the institutional breadth score for OBE?

More sellers than buyers — 44% buying: Last quarter: 44 funds reduced or exited vs 35 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for OBE holders?

Elite ownership — 60% AUM from top-100 funds: 14 of 85 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 60% of total institutional value in OBE. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held OBE?

64% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 54 out of 85 hedge funds have held OBE for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.