Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE)

104 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in OBE. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +4
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
66%

Smart Money Signals — OBE

Based on 105 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added OBE than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
105 hedge funds hold OBE right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +17% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+15 new funds entered over the past year (+17% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction. The peak was reached in just 3 quarters from the low — a sharp move.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 66% buying

65 buying34 selling
Last quarter: 65 funds were net buyers (25 opened a brand new position + 40 added to an existing one). Only 34 were sellers (13 trimmed + 21 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~25 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 9 → 13 → 28 → 25. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

54% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 54% conviction (2yr+) ■ 14% medium ■ 31% new
57 out of 105 hedge funds have held OBE for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +20%, value -2%

Value
-2%
Shares
+19%
Last quarter: funds added +20% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -2%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

9 → 9 → 13 → 28 → 25 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 9 → 13 → 28 → 25. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 63% veterans vs 28% newcomers

■ 63% veterans ■ 9% 1-2yr ■ 28% new
Entry-cohort mix of 113 holders: 71 (63%) are 2+ year veterans, 10 entered 1–2 years ago, and 32 (28%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 82% AUM from top-100 funds

82% from top-100 AUM funds
28 of 104 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 82% of total institutional value in OBE. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.1
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.1/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — OBE

In 2026 Q2, 65 hedge funds were net buyers of OBE (25 opened a new position, 40 added to an existing one), while 34 reduced or exited (13 trimmed, 21 sold completely) — a 66% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. 82% of total institutional value in OBE is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +4 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 105.

Hedge Fund Ownership: OBE

How many hedge funds hold OBE — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of OBE vs. share price

Market Analysis: OBE

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: OBE

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

7 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
3.9
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.3
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: OBE
104 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in OBE. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 104 101 2.97%
13F Shares 28M 23M 19.62%
Total Value $205M $210M -2.18%
New Positions 25 28 -3
Increased Positions 39 32 +7
Closed Positions 21 16 +5
Reduced Positions 10 16 -6
Total Calls 4 5 -20.0%
Total Puts 5 4 25.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.25 0.8 Bearish

Statistics: OBE

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

104 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in OBE. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 OBE holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Spark Investment Management LLC 2.12% 133,000 $1.1M
2 Pembroke Management, LTD 1.26% 990,264 $8.1M
3 CoreCommodity Management, LLC 0.09% 57,105 $467K
4 Quad-Cities Investment Group, LLC 0.09% 30,913 $251K
5 Post Resch Tallon Group Inc. 0.08% 14,998 $122K
6 Gmt Capital Corp 0.08% 180,008 $1.5M
7 Purewater Capital LLC 0.08% 12,830 $104K
8 Register Financial Advisors LLC 0.06% 22,200 $180K
9 Adalta Capital Management LLC 0.04% 10,000 $81K
10 State of Wyoming 0.03% 30,558 $248K
11 WealthTrust Axiom LLC 0.02% 13,357 $109K
12 Two Sigma Investments, LP 0.01% 2,350,583 $19.1M
13 SIG North Trading, ULC 0.01% 81,500 $663K
14 Campbell & CO Investment Adviser LLC 0.01% 26,909 $219K
15 Arrowstreet Capital, Limited Partnership 0.01% 3,149,276 $25.7M
16 Connor, Clark & Lunn Investment Management Ltd. 0.01% 530,794 $4.3M
17 Marks Group Wealth Management, Inc 0.01% 10,000 $81K
18 Founders Capital Management 0.01% 2,000 $16K
19 Stratos Wealth Partners, LTD. 0.01% 80,346 $653K
20 Aquatic Capital Management LLC 0.01% 22,913 $186K
21 Royal Bank of Canada 0.01% 4,439,794 $36.1M
22 American Century Companies Inc 0.00% 1,353,208 $11.1M
23 D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. 0.00% 1,137,100 $9.3M
24 Caitong International Asset Management Co., Ltd 0.00% 3,950 $32K
25 WealthCollab, LLC 0.00% 1,317 $11K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for OBE?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added OBE than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for OBE?

More buyers than sellers — 66% buying: Last quarter: 65 funds were net buyers (25 opened a brand new position + 40 added to an existing one). Only 34 were sellers (13 trimmed + 21 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for OBE holders?

Elite ownership — 82% AUM from top-100 funds: 28 of 104 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 82% of total institutional value in OBE. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held OBE?

54% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 57 out of 105 hedge funds have held OBE for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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