Based on 36 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their OPAD positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🔻
Below peak — only 64% of 3.0Y high
64% of all-time peak
Only 36 funds hold OPAD today versus a peak of 56 funds at 2025 Q1 — just 64% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
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Outflows — 36% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
20 fewer hedge funds hold OPAD compared to a year ago (-36% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 35% buying
17 buying32 selling
Last quarter: 32 funds sold vs only 17 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
⚠️
Fewer new buyers each quarter (-12 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 6 → 8 → 18 → 6. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒
47% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 47% conviction (2yr+)
■ 19% medium
■ 33% new
17 out of 36 hedge funds have held OPAD for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares -17%, value -54%
Last quarter: funds added -17% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -54%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~6 new funds/quarter
7 → 6 → 8 → 18 → 6 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 6 → 8 → 18 → 6. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️
Veteran-anchored — 50% veterans vs 32% newcomers
■ 50% veterans
■ 18% 1-2yr
■ 32% new
Entry-cohort mix of 40 holders: 20 (50%) are 2+ year veterans, 7 entered 1–2 years ago, and 13 (32%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
📋
Smaller funds dominant — 9% AUM from top-100
9% from top-100 AUM funds
11 of 35 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 9% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
Exit risk score 2.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.