Based on 75 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
📈
Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added OPAL than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
75 hedge funds hold OPAL right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +88% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+35 new funds entered over the past year (+88% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 49% buying
33 buying35 selling
Last quarter: 35 funds reduced or exited vs 33 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
📈
More new buyers each quarter (+6 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new OPAL position: 28 → 17 → 11 → 17. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
📌
Mixed — 31% long-term, 31% new
■ 31% conviction (2yr+)
■ 39% medium
■ 31% new
Of the 75 current holders: 23 (31%) held >2 years, 29 held 1–2 years, and 23 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
📊
Peak discovery — momentum slowing
4 → 28 → 17 → 11 → 17 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 28 → 17 → 11 → 17. OPAL is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️
Veteran-anchored — 41% veterans vs 43% newcomers
■ 41% veterans
■ 16% 1-2yr
■ 43% new
Entry-cohort mix of 79 holders: 32 (41%) are 2+ year veterans, 13 entered 1–2 years ago, and 34 (43%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
✅
Strong quality — 35% AUM from major funds
35% from top-100 AUM funds
26 of 75 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 35% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.3
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.3/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.