Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

PONY AI INC (PONY)

153 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in PONY. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -7
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
54%

Smart Money Signals — PONY

Based on 135 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their PONY positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (95% of max)

95% of all-time peak
135 hedge funds hold PONY right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +193% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+89 new funds entered over the past year (+193% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 54% buying

94 buying79 selling
Last quarter: 94 funds bought or added vs 79 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-28 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 28 → 69 → 62 → 34. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 67% entered in last year

■ 3% conviction (2yr+) ■ 30% medium ■ 67% new
Only 4 funds (3%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -43%, value -63%

Value
-63%
Shares
-43%
Last quarter: funds added -43% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -63%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~34 new funds/quarter

45 → 28 → 69 → 62 → 34 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 28 → 69 → 62 → 34. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🌱

Early stage — 97% of holders entered in last year

■ 3% veterans ■ 0% 1-2yr ■ 97% new
Of 153 current holders: 148 (97%) entered in the past year, only 5 (3%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
✅

Strong quality — 27% AUM from major funds

27% from top-100 AUM funds
21 of 135 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 27% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
6.4
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 6.4/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: PONY

How many hedge funds hold PONY — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of PONY vs. share price

Market Analysis: PONY

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: PONY

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

21 top-rated funds 4 high-conviction
Consensus
5.8
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.1
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: PONY
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 11 days 153 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in PONY. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 153 159 -3.77%
13F Shares 99M 175M -43.27%
Total Value $1.44B $3.93B -63.38%
New Positions 35 69 -34
Increased Positions 69 56 +13
Closed Positions 44 27 +17
Reduced Positions 69 45 +24
Total Calls 12 12 -
Total Puts 8 11 -27.27%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.67 0.92 Bullish

Statistics: PONY

View More

Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

153 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in PONY. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 25 institutional holders of PONY — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 TMT General Partner Ltd 26.23% 6,942,135 $65.5M
2 IDG China Venture Capital Fund IV Associates L.P. 17.18% 3,989,250 $37.7M
3 Renaissance Capital LLC 0.86% 119,586 $1.2M
4 Green Alpha Advisors, LLC 0.38% 41,171 $389K
5 Amova Asset Management Americas, Inc. 0.24% 1,821,735 $17.2M
6 Carlyle Group Inc. 0.21% 2,362,447 $22.3M
7 Baader Bank Aktiengesellschaft 0.15% 204,504 $1.9M
8 BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO 0.06% 6,359,468 $60.0M
9 MONEY CONCEPTS CAPITAL CORP 0.06% 106,065 $1.0M
10 Eurizon Capital SGR S.p.A. 0.03% 1,180,054 $11.1M
11 PROFUND ADVISORS LLC 0.02% 49,087 $463K
12 Vontobel Holding Ltd. 0.02% 478,708 $4.5M
13 Aaron Wealth Advisors LLC 0.01% 24,911 $235K
14 Venturi Wealth Management, LLC 0.01% 27,974 $264K
15 Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group, Inc. 0.01% 1,821,735 $17.2M
16 Provenance Wealth Advisors, LLC 0.01% 6,168 $58K
17 SG Americas Securities, LLC 0.01% 571,575 $5K
18 VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO 0.01% 2,142,015 $20.2M
19 SBI Securities Co., Ltd. 0.01% 19,872 $188K
20 Noble Wealth Management PBC 0.00% 850 $8K
21 IFP Advisors, Inc 0.00% 20,056 $189K
22 Lansforsakringar Fondforvaltning AB (publ) 0.00% 71,501 $675K
23 Pictet Asset Management Holding SA 0.00% 333,014 $3.1M
24 VANGUARD ASSET MANAGEMENT, Ltd 0.00% 373,664 $3.5M
25 UBS Group AG 0.00% 1,891,637 $17.9M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — PONY AI INC (PONY)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for PONY?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their PONY positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for PONY?

Slight buying edge — 54% buying: Last quarter: 94 funds bought or added vs 79 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for PONY holders?

Strong quality — 27% AUM from major funds: 21 of 135 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 27% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held PONY?

Mostly new holders — 67% entered in last year: Only 4 funds (3%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.