Based on 205 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 3 quarters in a row
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their QFIN positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊
High ownership — 72% of 3.0Y peak
72% of all-time peak
205 funds currently hold this stock — 72% of the 3.0-year high of 285 funds (reached 2025 Q1). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉
Outflows — 21% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
54 fewer hedge funds hold QFIN compared to a year ago (-21% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 41% buying
107 buying155 selling
Last quarter: 155 funds reduced or exited vs 107 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️
Fewer new buyers each quarter (-9 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 58 → 36 → 48 → 39. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒
53% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 53% conviction (2yr+)
■ 22% medium
■ 25% new
109 out of 205 hedge funds have held QFIN for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares -13%, value -41%
Last quarter: funds added -13% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -41%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~39 new funds/quarter
60 → 58 → 36 → 48 → 39 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 58 → 36 → 48 → 39. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 60% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 60% veterans
■ 11% 1-2yr
■ 29% new
Of 217 current holders: 130 (60%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
✅
Strong quality — 30% AUM from major funds
30% from top-100 AUM funds
33 of 205 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 30% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
Exit risk score 2.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.