Based on 85 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
📈
Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added RAIL than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
85 hedge funds hold RAIL right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶
Steady growth — +15% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+11 new funds entered over the past year (+15% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟢
More buyers than sellers — 63% buying
48 buying28 selling
Last quarter: 48 funds were net buyers (15 opened a brand new position + 33 added to an existing one). Only 28 were sellers (24 trimmed + 4 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~15 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 14 → 18 → 15 → 15. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒
53% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 53% conviction (2yr+)
■ 25% medium
■ 22% new
45 out of 85 hedge funds have held RAIL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares +6%, value -27%
Last quarter: funds added +6% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -27%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~15 new funds/quarter
23 → 14 → 18 → 15 → 15 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 14 → 18 → 15 → 15. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 65% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 65% veterans
■ 13% 1-2yr
■ 22% new
Of 91 current holders: 59 (65%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
✅
Strong quality — 26% AUM from major funds
26% from top-100 AUM funds
25 of 85 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 26% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
Exit risk score 3.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.