Based on 45 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📈
Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added SCIO than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🔻
Below peak — only 60% of 3.0Y high
60% of all-time peak
Only 45 funds hold SCIO today versus a peak of 75 funds at 2003 Q1 — just 60% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +400% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+36 new funds entered over the past year (+400% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢
More buyers than sellers — 86% buying
37 buying6 selling
Last quarter: 37 funds were net buyers (18 opened a brand new position + 19 added to an existing one). Only 6 were sellers (5 trimmed + 1 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~18 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 2 → 9 → 16 → 18. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 91% entered in last year
■ 0% conviction (2yr+)
■ 9% medium
■ 91% new
Only 0 funds (0%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
🚀
Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in
0 → 2 → 9 → 16 → 18 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 2 → 9 → 16 → 18. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🌱
Early stage — 96% of holders entered in last year
■ 0% veterans
■ 4% 1-2yr
■ 96% new
Of 45 current holders: 43 (96%) entered in the past year, only 0 (0%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
📋
Smaller funds dominant — 1% AUM from top-100
1% from top-100 AUM funds
1 of 45 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 1% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
5.3
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 5.3/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.