Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

SHOE CARNIVAL INC (SCVL)

169 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in SCVL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -9
Streak
2Q ▼
Buyers last Q
43%

Smart Money Signals — SCVL

Based on 173 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their SCVL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 88% of 3.0Y peak

88% of all-time peak
173 funds currently hold this stock — 88% of the 3.0-year high of 196 funds (reached 2024 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 12% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
23 fewer hedge funds hold SCVL compared to a year ago (-12% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 43% buying

88 buying117 selling
Last quarter: 117 funds reduced or exited vs 88 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+7 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new SCVL position: 29 → 38 → 29 → 36. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

62% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 62% conviction (2yr+) ■ 18% medium ■ 20% new
107 out of 173 hedge funds have held SCVL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -7%, value -25%

Value
-24%
Shares
-7%
Last quarter: funds added -7% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -25%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~36 new funds/quarter

36 → 29 → 38 → 29 → 36 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 29 → 38 → 29 → 36. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 71% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 71% veterans ■ 7% 1-2yr ■ 22% new
Of 175 current holders: 124 (71%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 46% AUM from top-100 funds

46% from top-100 AUM funds
42 of 173 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 46% of total institutional value in SCVL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.3
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.3/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — SCVL

In 2025 Q4, 88 hedge funds were net buyers of SCVL (36 opened a new position, 52 added to an existing one), while 117 reduced or exited (72 trimmed, 45 sold completely) — a 43% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. Net selling has persisted for two consecutive quarters. 46% of total institutional value in SCVL is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -9 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 173.

Hedge Fund Ownership: SCVL

How many hedge funds hold SCVL — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of SCVL vs. share price

Market Analysis: SCVL

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: SCVL

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

32 top-rated funds 1 high-conviction
Consensus
6.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
1.2
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: SCVL
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 2 days 169 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in SCVL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 169 176 -3.98%
13F Shares 19M 20M -7.27%
Total Value $318M $423M -24.7%
New Positions 35 29 +6
Increased Positions 52 59 -7
Closed Positions 44 31 +13
Reduced Positions 70 74 -4
Total Calls 0 2 -100.0%
Total Puts 2 3 -33.33%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 1.5 Bullish

Statistics: SCVL

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

169 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in SCVL. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 institutional holders of SCVL — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Meros Investment Management, LP 2.86% 423,080 $6.6M
2 Nokomis Capital, L.L.C. 2.41% 537,845 $8.4M
3 Pacific Ridge Capital Partners, LLC 1.04% 309,480 $4.8M
4 NEW SOUTH CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC 0.55% 741,313 $11.6M
5 Copeland Capital Management, LLC 0.52% 1,512,900 $23.6M
6 Hodges Capital Management Inc. 0.50% 389,980 $6.1M
7 Mork Capital Management, LLC 0.35% 32,000 $499K
8 SummerHaven Investment Management, LLC 0.32% 33,017 $515K
9 Potomac Capital Management, Inc. 0.25% 18,800 $293K
10 PDT Partners, LLC 0.12% 130,829 $2.0M
11 TECTONIC ADVISORS LLC 0.09% 113,904 $1.8M
12 North Star Investment Management Corp. 0.09% 96,892 $1.5M
13 ROYCE & ASSOCIATES LP 0.09% 553,120 $8.6M
14 1492 Capital Management LLC 0.08% 12,744 $199K
15 CRAWFORD INVESTMENT COUNSEL INC 0.07% 263,751 $4.1M
16 BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC 0.07% 217,728 $3.4M
17 Nebula Research & Development LLC 0.07% 41,132 $770K
18 Quinn Opportunity Partners LLC 0.06% 74,055 $1.2M
19 CSM Advisors, LLC 0.05% 126,640 $2K
20 Numerai GP LLC 0.04% 24,624 $384K
21 Koss-Olinger Consulting, LLC 0.02% 16,510 $257K
22 Atom Investors LP 0.02% 18,387 $287K
23 Pinnacle Wealth Management Advisory Group, LLC 0.02% 15,451 $241K
24 GABELLI FUNDS LLC 0.01% 139,636 $2.2M
25 Empowered Funds, LLC 0.01% 143,254 $2.2M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — SHOE CARNIVAL INC (SCVL)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for SCVL?

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their SCVL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for SCVL?

More sellers than buyers — 43% buying: Last quarter: 117 funds reduced or exited vs 88 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for SCVL holders?

Elite ownership — 46% AUM from top-100 funds: 42 of 173 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 46% of total institutional value in SCVL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held SCVL?

62% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 107 out of 173 hedge funds have held SCVL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.