Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Shoe Carnival Inc (SCVL)

156 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in SCVL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -16
Streak
3Q ▼
Buyers last Q
48%

Smart Money Signals — SCVL

Based on 157 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their SCVL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 80% of 3.0Y peak

80% of all-time peak
157 funds currently hold this stock — 80% of the 3.0-year high of 196 funds (reached 2024 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 11% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
20 fewer hedge funds hold SCVL compared to a year ago (-11% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 48% buying

84 buying90 selling
Last quarter: 90 funds reduced or exited vs 84 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-15 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 38 → 29 → 36 → 21. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

60% of holders stayed for 2+ years

60% conviction (2yr+) 22% medium 18% new
94 out of 157 hedge funds have held SCVL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~21 new funds/quarter

29 → 38 → 29 → 36 → 21 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 38 → 29 → 36 → 21. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 68% veterans vs 23% newcomers

68% veterans 9% 1-2yr 23% new
Entry-cohort mix of 161 holders: 110 (68%) are 2+ year veterans, 14 entered 1–2 years ago, and 37 (23%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 43% AUM from top-100 funds

43% from top-100 AUM funds
38 of 157 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 43% of total institutional value in SCVL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
2.5
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.5/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — SCVL

In 2026 Q1, 84 hedge funds were net buyers of SCVL (21 opened a new position, 63 added to an existing one), while 90 reduced or exited (53 trimmed, 37 sold completely) — a 48% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. This extends a 3-quarter selling streak, suggesting sustained institutional caution. 43% of total institutional value in SCVL is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -16 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 157.

Hedge Fund Ownership: SCVL

How many hedge funds hold SCVL — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of SCVL vs. share price

Market Analysis: SCVL

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: SCVL

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Shoe Carnival Inc (SCVL) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much SCVL has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLY) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 3d ago
SCVL
+7.5%
XLY
+3.3%

SCVL outperformed XLY by +4.2% since June 30, 2026.

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

18 top-rated funds 1 high-conviction
Consensus
5.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
1.4
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: SCVL
2026 Q2 Stats Unlock in 47 days 156 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in SCVL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 156 173 -9.83%
13F Shares 19M 19M 1.33%
Total Value $291M $320M -8.98%
New Positions 20 36 -16
Increased Positions 61 52 +9
Closed Positions 37 45 -8
Reduced Positions 53 71 -18
Total Calls 2 0 100%
Total Puts 2 2 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 0.0 Neutral

Statistics: SCVL

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

156 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in SCVL. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 3 SCVL holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Cedar Mountain Advisors, LLC 0.00% 65
2 Versant Capital Management, Inc 0.00% 113 $2K
3 MassMutual Private Wealth & Trust, FSB 0.00% 16
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Shoe Carnival Inc (SCVL)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for SCVL?

Selling streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their SCVL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for SCVL?

More sellers than buyers — 48% buying: Last quarter: 90 funds reduced or exited vs 84 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for SCVL holders?

Elite ownership — 43% AUM from top-100 funds: 38 of 157 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 43% of total institutional value in SCVL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held SCVL?

60% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 94 out of 157 hedge funds have held SCVL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Shoe Carnival Inc (SCVL) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), SCVL has gained +7.5% vs +3.3% for XLY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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