Based on 142 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
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Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added SMBC than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
142 hedge funds hold SMBC right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
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Fast accumulation — +29% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+32 new funds entered over the past year (+29% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
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Slight buying edge — 57% buying
78 buying59 selling
Last quarter: 78 funds bought or added vs 59 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~26 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 11 → 6 → 28 → 26. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒
57% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 57% conviction (2yr+)
■ 20% medium
■ 23% new
81 out of 142 hedge funds have held SMBC for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
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Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in
15 → 11 → 6 → 28 → 26 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 11 → 6 → 28 → 26. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 60% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 60% veterans
■ 13% 1-2yr
■ 27% new
Of 142 current holders: 85 (60%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
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Elite ownership — 44% AUM from top-100 funds
44% from top-100 AUM funds
31 of 142 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 44% of total institutional value in SMBC. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.0
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.0/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.