Based on 103 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
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Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added SMOT than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
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At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
103 hedge funds hold SMOT right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
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Steady growth — +8% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+8 new funds entered over the past year (+8% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
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More sellers than buyers — 46% buying
48 buying56 selling
Last quarter: 56 funds reduced or exited vs 48 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
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More new buyers each quarter (+9 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new SMOT position: 12 → 13 → 9 → 18. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
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Mixed — 31% long-term, 23% new
■ 31% conviction (2yr+)
■ 46% medium
■ 23% new
Of the 103 current holders: 32 (31%) held >2 years, 47 held 1–2 years, and 24 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
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Steady discovery — ~18 new funds/quarter
18 → 12 → 13 → 9 → 18 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 12 → 13 → 9 → 18. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
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Mixed cohorts — 32% veterans, 30% new entrants
■ 32% veterans
■ 38% 1-2yr
■ 30% new
Of 103 current holders: 33 (32%) held 2+ years, 39 held 1–2 years, 31 (30%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
✅
Strong quality — 30% AUM from major funds
30% from top-100 AUM funds
10 of 103 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 30% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
Exit risk score 3.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.