Based on 46 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 4 quarters in a row
For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their TMF positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🔻
Below peak — only 68% of 2.8Y high
68% of all-time peak
Only 46 funds hold TMF today versus a peak of 68 funds at 2025 Q1 — just 68% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
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Outflows — 32% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
22 fewer hedge funds hold TMF compared to a year ago (-32% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 43% buying
24 buying32 selling
Last quarter: 32 funds reduced or exited vs 24 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~11 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 16 → 12 → 9 → 11. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
📌
Mixed — 35% long-term, 22% new
■ 35% conviction (2yr+)
■ 43% medium
■ 22% new
Of the 46 current holders: 16 (35%) held >2 years, 20 held 1–2 years, and 10 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
📊
Peak discovery — momentum slowing
19 → 16 → 12 → 9 → 11 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 16 → 12 → 9 → 11. TMF is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️
Veteran-anchored — 47% veterans vs 26% newcomers
■ 47% veterans
■ 26% 1-2yr
■ 26% new
Entry-cohort mix of 53 holders: 25 (47%) are 2+ year veterans, 14 entered 1–2 years ago, and 14 (26%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆
Elite ownership — 49% AUM from top-100 funds
49% from top-100 AUM funds
12 of 46 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 49% of total institutional value in TMF. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
Exit risk score 2.3/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.