Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

TERNIUM SA (TX)

128 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in TX. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +11
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
49%

Smart Money Signals — TX

Based on 124 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TX than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
📊

High ownership — 78% of 3.0Y peak

78% of all-time peak
124 funds currently hold this stock — 78% of the 3.0-year high of 158 funds (reached 2023 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
〰️

Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year

fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding TX is almost the same as a year ago (+3 funds, +2% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 49% buying

57 buying59 selling
Last quarter: 59 funds reduced or exited vs 57 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~21 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 16 → 16 → 18 → 21. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

69% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 69% conviction (2yr+) ■ 19% medium ■ 12% new
86 out of 124 hedge funds have held TX for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -2%, value -97%

Value
-97%
Shares
-2%
Last quarter: funds added -2% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -97%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

13 → 16 → 16 → 18 → 21 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 16 → 16 → 18 → 21. A growing number of institutions are discovering TX each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 76% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 76% veterans ■ 8% 1-2yr ■ 16% new
Of 131 current holders: 100 (76%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 16% AUM from top-100

16% from top-100 AUM funds
28 of 124 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 16% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
2.3
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.3/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — TX

In 2025 Q4, 57 hedge funds were net buyers of TX (21 opened a new position, 36 added to an existing one), while 59 reduced or exited (49 trimmed, 10 sold completely) — a 49% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. Net fund flow last quarter: +11 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 124.

Hedge Fund Ownership: TX

How many hedge funds hold TX — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of TX vs. share price

Market Analysis: TX

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: TX

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

18 top-rated funds 2 high-conviction
Consensus
5.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.9
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: TX
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 2 days 128 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in TX. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 128 115 11.3%
13F Shares 24M 25M -2.27%
Total Value $925M $32.00B -97.11%
New Positions 22 17 +5
Increased Positions 47 50 -3
Closed Positions 9 14 -5
Reduced Positions 52 35 +17
Total Calls 4 3 33.33%
Total Puts 3 3 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.75 1.0 Neutral

Statistics: TX

View More

Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

128 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in TX. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 institutional holders of TX — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 CONTRARIAN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. 11.17% 992,413 $39.8M
2 Cape Ann Asset Management Ltd 9.74% 1,067,811 $42.9M
3 Oaktree Fund Advisors, LLC 2.69% 38,186 $1.5M
4 DONALD SMITH & CO., INC. 2.64% 3,656,867 $146.8M
5 Ninety One North America, Inc. 1.08% 598,167 $24.0M
6 LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC 0.42% 6,336,127 $254.4M
7 OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP 0.37% 582,924 $23.4M
8 Militia Capital Management LLC 0.34% 37,000 $1.5M
9 Empirical Finance, LLC 0.30% 161,171 $6.5M
10 Westwood Global Investments, LLC 0.27% 181,022 $7.3M
11 Oldfield Partners LLP 0.23% 23,495 $897K
12 Arrow Investment Advisors, LLC 0.22% 5,256 $211K
13 WealthTrust Axiom LLC 0.18% 18,650 $749K
14 Cornerstone Select Advisors, LLC 0.15% 5,888 $236K
15 Numerai GP LLC 0.14% 35,523 $1.4M
16 PRUDENTIAL PLC 0.14% 590,781 $23.7M
17 CoreCommodity Management, LLC 0.14% 18,483 $742K
18 Investors Research Corp 0.13% 16,950 $681K
19 Ninety One UK Ltd 0.12% 1,291,623 $51.9M
20 BEARING POINT CAPITAL, LLC 0.11% 18,000 $723K
21 DEPRINCE RACE & ZOLLO INC 0.08% 111,882 $4.5M
22 SCHRODER INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT GROUP 0.08% 2,421,218 $97.2M
23 ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC 0.07% 1,187,035 $48K
24 AIGEN INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LP 0.06% 6,046 $243K
25 Dynamic Technology Lab Private Ltd 0.05% 7,488 $301K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — TERNIUM SA (TX)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for TX?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TX than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for TX?

More sellers than buyers — 49% buying: Last quarter: 59 funds reduced or exited vs 57 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for TX holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 16% AUM from top-100: 28 of 124 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 16% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held TX?

69% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 86 out of 124 hedge funds have held TX for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.