Based on 154 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
📈
Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added UGP than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
154 hedge funds hold UGP right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
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Fast accumulation — +33% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+38 new funds entered over the past year (+33% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢
More buyers than sellers — 66% buying
102 buying52 selling
Last quarter: 102 funds were net buyers (34 opened a brand new position + 68 added to an existing one). Only 52 were sellers (31 trimmed + 21 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~34 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 22 → 21 → 37 → 34. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒
57% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 57% conviction (2yr+)
■ 18% medium
■ 25% new
88 out of 154 hedge funds have held UGP for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
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Price up while funds trimmed (+43% value, -0% shares)
Last quarter: total value of institutional UGP holdings rose +43% even though funds reduced share count by 0%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
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Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in
21 → 22 → 21 → 37 → 34 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 22 → 21 → 37 → 34. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
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Veteran-anchored — 66% veterans vs 28% newcomers
■ 66% veterans
■ 6% 1-2yr
■ 28% new
Entry-cohort mix of 154 holders: 101 (66%) are 2+ year veterans, 10 entered 1–2 years ago, and 43 (28%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
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Elite ownership — 48% AUM from top-100 funds
48% from top-100 AUM funds
35 of 154 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 48% of total institutional value in UGP. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.1
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.1/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.